Tropical cyclone Paolo tracker
5 a.m., Oct. 4
Severe Tropical Storm Paolo left the Philippine Area of Responsibility early October 4 but will still affect Northern and Central Luzon with strong winds and rains.
PAGASA kept Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal No. 1 over parts of Abra, Benguet, Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, La Union, Pangasinan, and Zambales.
PAGASA warned of storm surges up to 2.0 meters in Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, La Union, Pangasinan, and Zambales, with sea waves reaching 2.0 to 4.0 meters in many areas.
‘Paolo” is moving west-northwestward over the West Philippine Sea, expected to re-intensify into a typhoon before heading toward Guangdong and Guangxi in China.
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5 p.m., Oct. 3
Typhoon Paolo has left the Philippine landmass and has weakened into a severe tropical storm.
2 p.m., Oct. 3
The center of Typhoon Paolo was estimated over the vicinity of Mayoyao, Ifugao, packing maximum sustained winds of 120 kph near the center and gustiness of up to 200 kph.
It was moving west-northwestward at 30 kph.
PAGASA said Paolo will continue to move west-northwestward and is expected to emerge over the West Philippine Sea later Friday afternoon or evening.
It is forecast to leave the Philippine Area of Responsibility on Saturday morning, Oct. 4.
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9 a.m., Oct. 3
Typhoon Paolo (international name: Matmo) made landfall over Dinapigue, Isabela.
At the time of landfall, Paolo had maximum sustained winds of 130 kph near the center and gustiness of up to 180 kph.
After landfall, PAGASA said the typhoon is expected to cross large parts of Cagayan Valley, Cordillera Administrative Region, and Ilocos Region throughout the day before emerging over the West Philippine Sea by evening.
5 a.m., Oct. 3
The center of Severe Tropical Storm Paolo was located 150 kilometers east of Casiguran, Aurora, and is now closer to making landfall over southern Isabela of northern Aurora.
It intensified further with maximum sustained winds of 100 kilometers per hour near the center and gustiness of up to 125 kph.
It was moving west-northwestward at 20 kph.
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2 a.m., Oct. 3
PAGASA said the center of Severe Tropical Storm Paolo was located 255 kilometers east of Baler, Aurora.
It intensified further, with maximum sustained winds now reaching 95 kilometers per hour near the center and gustiness of up to 115 kilometers per hour.
Paolo maintained its westward track toward the southern Isabela-northern Aurora area.
11 p.m., Oct. 2
The center of Severe Tropical Storm Paolo was located 320 km east of Baler, Aurora.
PAGASA said Paolo is expected to move generally west-northwestward throughout the forecast period and may make landfall over Isabela or northern Aurora on Friday morning, Oct. 3.
A southward shift in the track remains possible depending on the strength of the high pressure area located north of the storm.
After crossing the landmass of Northern Luzon, Paolo will emerge over the West Philippine Sea by Friday afternoon and may exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility by Saturday morning, Oct. 4.
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5 p.m., Oct. 2
The center of Paolo was located 480 kilometers (km) east of Infanta, Quezon, or 480 km east of Baler, Aurora.
It was packing maximum sustained winds of 85 kilometers per hour (kph) near the center and gustiness of up to 105 kph, and moving west-northwestward at 15 kph.
PAGASA said Paolo may intensify into a severe tropical storm tonight or early morning on Friday, Oct. 3, before making landfall over southern Isabela or northern Aurora.
It will cross Northern Luzon and emerge over the West Philippine Sea Friday afternoon.
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2 p.m., Oct. 2
PAGASA said the center of Tropical Storm Paolo was located 530 kilometers east of Infanta, Quezon.
It was still expected to make landfall over southern Isabela or northern Aurora by Friday morning, Oct. 3.
11 a.m., Oct. 2
PAGASA said Tropical Storm Paolo slightly intensified over the Philippine Sea.
The center of the storm was located about 575 kilometers east of Infanta, Quezon.
If Paolo maintains its west-northwestward movement at 20 kph, it is expected to make landfall over southern Isabela or northern Aurora by Friday morning, Oct. 3.
PAGASA pointed out that a southward shift in its track is possible depending on the strength of the high-pressure area located north of Paolo.
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5 a.m., Oct. 2
“Paolo” intensifies into a tropical storm. It is now known by its international name “Matmo.”
Its center was located 705 kilometers east of Infanta, Quezon, with maximum sustained winds of 65 kph near the center and gustiness of upt to 80 kph.
It was moving west-northwesward at 20 kph.
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11 p.m., Oct. 1
PAGASA said the center of Tropical Depression Paolo was estimated at 565 kilometers east of Virac, Catanduanes, or 695 kilometers east of Daet, Camarines Norte.
It had maximum sustained winds of 55 kilometers per hour (kph) near the center and gustiness of up to 70 kph, moving westward at a slower pace of 20 kph.
Paolo is expected to move generally westward to west-northwestward and maked landfall over Isabela or northern Aurora between Friday morning and afternoon, Oct. 3.
However, PAGASA pointed out that a southward shift in its track remains possible depending on the strength of the high pressure area north of Paolo.
It said Paolo is expected exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility by Saturday morning, Oct. 4
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5 p.m., Oct. 1
Tropical Depression Paolo is expected to continue moving westward to west-northwestward and make landfall over Isabela or northern Aurora on Friday, Oct. 3.
However, PAGASA said a more southward shift in its track is possible depending on the strength of the high pressure area north of Paolo.
Its center was located 665 kilometers east of Virac, Catanduanes at 4 p.m.
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11 a.m., Oct. 1
Tropical Depression Paolo may generally move west-northwestward and could make landfall over Isabela or northern Aurora by Friday morning or afternoon, Oct. 3.
However, PAGASA said a possible southward shift in Paolo’s track could occur depending on the strength of the high pressure area north of the cyclone.
As of 11 a.m., the center of the tropical depression was located 760 kilometers east of Virac, Catanduanes.
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8 a.m., Oct. 1
The low-pressure area east of Catanduanes has intensifed into a tropical depression, and was given the local name “Paolo.”
It is the first tropical cyclone to form inside the Philippine Area of Responsibility this month and the 16th for 2025.