Private sector economists are split over whether the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) will raise interest rates this week, as the need to anchor inflation expectations and defend the peso battles concerns over the fragile economic recovery. Of 10 economists surveyed, five expect a 25-basis-point...
With headline inflation accelerating more than expected in March, Frankfurt-based Deutsche Bank AG warned that spillover effects from rising energy costs could soon start to surface across other sectors of the local economy. Deutsche Bank Research noted in its April 10 report that in the...
The collapse of peace talks between the United States (US) and Iran over the weekend could hurt semiconductor manufacturers in Asia, including the Philippines, according to British banking giant Barclays. “A prolonged energy disruption could lead to a tail-risk scenario that hits semiconductor...
Renewed Houthi attacks in the Red Sea are seen aggravating oil price- and supply-driven inflation pressures in the Philippines stemming from the ongoing war in the Middle East. “While the direct effect of renewed strikes on shipping in the Red Sea on aggregate world trade is likely to be limited,...
The research arm of Frankfurt-based Deutsche Bank believes the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) could eventually hike the 4.25-percent key interest rate over upcoming policy meetings, but the cycle could end after a maximum of three hikes as the Philippines still grows below potential. “Prices...
The Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) is facing mounting pressure to abandon its steady policy stance as domestic and foreign lenders warn that persistent supply shocks are beginning to seep into the broader economy. A growing chorus of economists expects the BSP to raise its benchmark interest...
Two global banking giants have flagged political and fiscal challenges posing near-term risks to the Philippine economy, especially in the aftermath of a corruption scandal involving massive public spending on ineffective flood control projects in recent years. While “there is a strong pipeline...
Consumer prices may have risen at a faster pace in August, the central bank projected, as recent typhoons and excessive rainfall likely stoked the cost of basic goods, especially food items. Last month’s inflation is expected to clock within the range of one percent to 1.8 percent, according to...
Germany-based Deutsche Bank said a quarter-point rate cut on Thursday would help support Philippine economic activity, following the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas’ (BSP) revised forecast that the negative output gap will persist until 2027. “We see the BSP lowering its policy rate by 25 bps...
While several big-ticket government projects in the pipeline threaten to widen the Philippines’ current account deficit and put pressure on the trade balance, Germany-based Deutsche Bank said this could ultimately benefit the country’s economic growth and strengthen the peso in the long run....
Germany-based Deutsche Bank stated that the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas’ (BSP) cumulative 1.25-percent interest rate reductions have been unable to lift lending growth, as lower borrowing costs were not enough to outweigh persistent economic uncertainty. This follows BSP Governor Eli M. Remolona...
A slightly higher inflation rate that remains below two percent in June would allow the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) to cut interest rates some more in August, economists said. In a June 27 report, Deutsche Bank Research economist Junjie Huang said headline inflation could have inched up to...
