Two global banking giants have flagged political and fiscal challenges posing near-term risks to the Philippine economy, especially in the aftermath of a corruption scandal involving massive public spending on ineffective flood control projects in recent years. While “there is a strong pipeline...
Consumer prices may have risen at a faster pace in August, the central bank projected, as recent typhoons and excessive rainfall likely stoked the cost of basic goods, especially food items. Last month’s inflation is expected to clock within the range of one percent to 1.8 percent, according to...
Germany-based Deutsche Bank said a quarter-point rate cut on Thursday would help support Philippine economic activity, following the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas’ (BSP) revised forecast that the negative output gap will persist until 2027. “We see the BSP lowering its policy rate by 25 bps...
While several big-ticket government projects in the pipeline threaten to widen the Philippines’ current account deficit and put pressure on the trade balance, Germany-based Deutsche Bank said this could ultimately benefit the country’s economic growth and strengthen the peso in the long run....
Germany-based Deutsche Bank stated that the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas’ (BSP) cumulative 1.25-percent interest rate reductions have been unable to lift lending growth, as lower borrowing costs were not enough to outweigh persistent economic uncertainty. This follows BSP Governor Eli M. Remolona...
A slightly higher inflation rate that remains below two percent in June would allow the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) to cut interest rates some more in August, economists said. In a June 27 report, Deutsche Bank Research economist Junjie Huang said headline inflation could have inched up to...
A bill supported by United States (US) President Donald Trump, currently pending approval in the US Senate, would likely only minimally reduce remittances to the Philippines as more Filipinos who used to work overseas have returned home, according to Deutsche Bank Research. In a June 20 report,...
A dovish Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) may be constrained by skyrocketing global oil prices, which would further weaken the peso and could force a pause from further interest rate cuts, foreign banks said. In a June 23 report, MUFG Global Markets Research said that if world oil prices rise...
Israel 's attack on Iran may pause monetary policy easing by the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) while also weakening the peso, according to foreign banks. “We think that the spike in oil prices on June 13 due to the Israel-Iran conflict is unlikely to derail the BSP 's decision to...
The Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) is seen cutting interest rates for two consecutive policy meetings as inflation falls to below-target levels, according to Deutsche Bank Research. In a May 31 report emailed on Monday, June 2, Deutsche Bank Research forecast headline inflation in May at 1.5...
Another 25-basis-point (bp) interest rate cut by the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) is widely expected at its monetary policy meeting next month, as inflation slides and economic growth weakens. In a May 9 report, Deutsche Bank Research said the lower-than-expected 5.4-percent gross domestic...
Robust government spending ahead of the May 12 elections likely sped up economic growth in the first quarter, despite private consumption largely being in wait-and-see mode as Filipinos save up, according to the research arm of global financial giant Deutsche Bank. In a May 3 report received by...
