Government spending related to the May 12 midterm elections—frontloaded expenditures prior to the polls as well as the resumption of delayed projects due to the election ban—would likely spill over into the second quarter and support first-half economic growth, economists said. "While the...
Another 25-basis-point (bp) interest rate cut by the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) is widely expected at its monetary policy meeting next month, as inflation slides and economic growth weakens. In a May 9 report, Deutsche Bank Research said the lower-than-expected 5.4-percent gross domestic...
The coast isn 't clear yet for domestic inflation, as Singapore-based United Overseas Bank (UOB) sees looming United States (US) tariffs as a global price risk for an economy like the Philippines, which imports the bulk of the goods it consumes. "The US reciprocal tariffs after the 90-day...
Inflation would likely fall to a five-year low in 2025, providing policy space for more interest rate cuts supportive of economic growth, according to the think tank Capital Economics. "We expect GDP [gross domestic product] growth in the Philippines to remain relatively strong in 2025, helped by...
The Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) expects the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) to cut key interest rates by an additional 100 basis points (bps) for the remainder of 2025 to arrest potentially slower economic growth as a result of the intensifying global trade war. "The BSP has room to...
The Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) is expected to finally push through with its much-awaited reduction in key interest rates to protect the economy from the likelihood of a wider negative outlook gap, no thanks to United States (US) President Donald Trump's reciprocal tariffs. In an April 4...
The Philippines would buck the trend of weak growth prospects in emerging markets (EMs) amid the United States' (US) tariffs threat, according to the think tank Capital Economics. "In all, aggregate EM GDP growth is likely to slow in the coming quarters... we think growth will generally fall short...
Economists at Bank of the Philippine Islands (BPI) believe that the plan of former President Rodrigo Duterte’s supporters, especially overseas Filipinos workers (OFWs), to protest his detention by the International Criminal Court (ICC) at The Hague through a “zero-remittance week” could do...
US President Donald J. Trump's protectionist policies remain the top risk to Philippine economic prospects this year, according to the think tank Capital Economics. "A key uncertainty over the coming year is whether and to what extent Donald Trump follows through with his threats to impose tariffs...
Economists believe the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) will cut borrowing rates by 25 basis points (bps) as early as its first monetary policy meeting Thursday, Feb. 13, to reinvigorate economic activities and reverse last year’s slower-than-expected growth. Of the 14 private-sector...
Department of Finance (DOF) Secretary Ralph G. Recto said that key borrowing costs are unlikely to drop to pre-pandemic level amid expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will slow down its policy rate reduction. According to the finance chief, the market expectation for 2025 is for...
The repercussions of US President-elect Donald J. Trump's protectionist trade and expansionary fiscal policies would slow the pace of interest rate cuts in emerging markets like the Philippines, according to Oxford Economics. In a report, Oxford Economics emerging markets economist Callee Davis...
