As manufacturers experience only mild producer price inflation, central banks in emerging markets (EMs), including the Philippines, are expected to cut interest rates some more in the near term. “Encouragingly, the price components of the PMIs [purchasing managers’ indices] fell again in June....
A slightly higher inflation rate that remains below two percent in June would allow the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) to cut interest rates some more in August, economists said. In a June 27 report, Deutsche Bank Research economist Junjie Huang said headline inflation could have inched up to...
Despite double-digit exports growth in the first five months of the year, economic think tanks expect the sales of Philippine-made goods overseas to falter in the second half, especially if United States (US) President Donald Trump pushes through with his tariff spree. “Exports are also likely to...
The Philippines’ plan to temper spending on public goods and services in a bid to narrow its budget deficit to pre-pandemic levels may slow economic growth, according to the think tank Capital Economics. “Monetary easing across the region should support consumption and investment, but tighter...
Even as the Philippine peso depreciated against the United States (US) dollar at a pace that was among the worst among emerging market (EM) currencies last week, the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) is still expected to cut interest rates this week. Data from the Bankers Association of the...
The Philippines has a "low" sovereign debt risk despite its ballooning obligations, but think tank Capital Economics cautioned that emerging markets (EMs) with better managed public finances should not rest on their laurels amid lingering fiscal strains. In a June 12 report authored by Capital...
Money sent home by Filipinos working and living in the United States (US) is seen at risk from the remittance tax proposal pending in the US Congress, according to the think tank Capital Economics. "The proposed five-percent US tax on remittance outflows would have a particularly large negative...
Another 25-basis-point (bp) interest rate cut by the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) is widely expected at its monetary policy meeting next month, as inflation slides and economic growth weakens. In a May 9 report, Deutsche Bank Research said the lower-than-expected 5.4-percent gross domestic...
Inflation would likely fall to a five-year low in 2025, providing policy space for more interest rate cuts supportive of economic growth, according to the think tank Capital Economics. "We expect GDP [gross domestic product] growth in the Philippines to remain relatively strong in 2025, helped by...
Emerging market (EM) currencies, including the Philippine peso, gained versus the United States (US) dollar in the aftermath of US President Donald Trump's tariff spree, according to the think tank Capital Economics. "EM currencies have generally strengthened against the dollar since 'Liberation...
The Philippines would be mildly impacted by the brewing global trade war started by United States (US) President Donald Trump and may even emerge as a "winner," according to the think tank Oxford Economics. "There are no absolute winners in a trade war, but some will fare relatively better than...
Net importing countries like the Philippines should brace for a barrage of Chinese goods as China seeks alternative markets to the United States (US) amid intensifying trade tensions between the two economic giants, according to the think tank Capital Economics. In an April 15 report, Capital...
