The peso is struggling to claw back losses despite the two-week ceasefire between the United States (US) and Iran, remaining an outlier in a regional currency recovery as markets focus on the country’s acute sensitivity to energy prices. While the brief cessation of hostilities sparked a relief...
The ceasefire-driven rally of Asian currencies, including the Philippine peso, may be short-lived as global oil risks linger, according to Singapore-based Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp. Ltd. (OCBC). In an April 9 report, OCBC Group Research foreign exchange (FX) strategists Sim Moh Siong and...
If the war in the Middle East prolongs and global oil prices continue to skyrocket, the Philippine peso could breach the ₱61:$1 level in the second quarter of 2026 and even hit as low as ₱62 to ₱64 against the United States (US) dollar. “Our base case forecasts for the US dollar-Philippine...
The peso tumbled to a fresh record low on Friday, March 27, breaching the 60.5-level as geopolitical tensions in the Middle East intensified and the central bank signaled it sees no immediate need to defend the currency. The peso weakened to ₱60.55 per dollar, surpassing the previous historic low...
Foreign lenders are backing the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas’ (BSP) increasingly hawkish stance as the local economy grapples with war-driven oil price volatility and supply disruptions. Nomura Holdings Inc., a Japanese investment and brokerage giant, raised its expectations for “significant”...
Japanese financial giant MUFG Bank Ltd. said investors have turned pessimistic following heightened political risks, but the relative strength of the Philippine peso is buoying sentiment. “Political risks are escalating as street protests call for President Ferdinand Marcos Jr.’s resignation...
Japanese financial giant MUFG Bank, Ltd, now sees the Philippine peso weakening at a deeper level, as the sudden shift in the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas’ (BSP) tone has also made the market more expectant of about two additional cuts. “We now pencil in the BSP cutting rates to 4.25 percent by...
Japanese financial giant MUFG Bank Ltd. expects the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) to maintain the key policy rate at five percent throughout 2025 but anticipates the central bank will reduce it by another one percentage point (ppt) to four percent in 2026. Based on MUFG’s Sept. 24 report,...
Japanese financial giant MUFG has forecast the Philippine peso to fare steadily against the United States dollar through the second quarter of 2026, as the latter bears the brunt of U.S. President Donald Trump’s attack on the Federal Reserve’s independence. MUFG projected the peso’s current...
Consumer prices may have risen at a faster pace in August, the central bank projected, as recent typhoons and excessive rainfall likely stoked the cost of basic goods, especially food items. Last month’s inflation is expected to clock within the range of one percent to 1.8 percent, according to...
After performing among the worst of Asian currencies last week, the Philippine peso is still expected by Japanese financial giant MUFG Bank Ltd. to gradually appreciate and return to the ₱56:$1 level next year. “All Asian currencies depreciated against the United States (US) dollar [last] week,...
After experiencing a three-day appreciation streak against the United States (US) dollar, the Philippine peso weakened again by shedding almost half-a-peso on Friday, July 25, despite the fresh market optimism over the latest trade deal with the US. According to the Bankers Association of the...
