Local monetary authorities face the growing challenge to stabilize surging consumer prices as the initial pass-through of global oil inflation threatens to push the headline rate into double digits by the fourth quarter of the year. The mounting risk that inflation expectations could become...
The Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) is facing mounting pressure to deliver a more aggressive interest rate hike or a rare off-cycle move after inflation surged to a three-year high in April. British banking giant Barclays is now pricing in three consecutive 25-basis-point increases, which would...
Headline inflation or annual price increases soared to a 37-month high of 7.2 percent in April, mainly as domestic fuel and food prices skyrocketed due to the global oil price and supply shocks caused by the prolonged war in the Middle East. The Philippine Statistics Authority ’s (PSA) latest...
Washington-based International Monetary Fund (IMF) urged the Philippines to resume public infrastructure spending under stricter governance standards to revive investor confidence, warning that the absence of accountable fiscal activity is stifling private investment and domestic growth. In a...
Signs of stagflation are surfacing in the Philippine economy as it enters the second quarter of 2026, with private sector economists warning of a precarious mix of stalled growth and surging consumer prices. The country’s economic output likely posted only a tepid recovery from the previous...
Businesses have turned more pessimistic about the global economic outlook amid the ongoing United States (US)/Israel war with Iran, according to think tank Oxford Economics. In an April 30 report, Oxford Economics head of macro scenarios Jamie Thompson said the conflict in the Middle East is...
Factory-gate prices rose at their fastest pace in three years in March, as oil-linked industries drove a sharp acceleration in manufacturing costs at the onset of the war in the Middle East. The latest Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) data on Thursday, April 30, showed that the producer price...
Amid surging fuel and electricity costs, worsened by a weakening peso, the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) expects April inflation to have accelerated to at least 5.6 percent—potentially the fastest pace in nearly three years. In a statement on Thursday, April 30, the BSP said it expects...
United Kingdom (UK)-based think tank Pantheon Macroeconomics said the Philippine economy remains too fragile to quickly pass through surging energy prices into demand-side pressures, suggesting that the latest interest rate hike is likely a one-off move. As such, the benchmark rate at 4.5 percent...
The World Bank Group (WBG) has warned that the war in the Middle East is set to trigger the biggest energy price surge in four years, fueling inflation, slowing economic growth, and worsening food insecurity across developing economies. In an April 28 statement, the Washington-based multilateral...
The Philippine economy faces a potential “second wave” of inflation and a sharp slowdown in growth if geopolitical volatility in the Middle East persists, according to HSBC. In a briefing on Tuesday, April 28, Aris Dacanay, HSBC senior Asean economist, warned that a prolonged blockade of the...
Philippine business sentiment collapsed into pessimistic territory in the first quarter as escalating Middle East tensions fueled fears of an energy price shock, according to the latest central bank data. According to the latest Business Expectations Survey (BES) released by the Bangko Sentral ng...
