Middle East tensions keep fuel price hikes on horizon
Tempered optimism over a Middle East peace agreement has left global oil trading volatile, positioning local fuel prices for another round of hikes next week as market anxiety outweighs diplomatic breakthroughs.
Based on four-day trading of Mean of Platts Singapore (MOPS), diesel prices may increase by ₱1 to ₱3 per liter, while gasoline prices may either decrease by ₱1 or increase by ₱1 per liter.
The Department of Energy (DOE) will announce the prescribed price adjustments on Monday, July 6.
These projections are largely attributed to the renewed Middle East conflict, as an industry expert noted attacks on commercial vessels and military strikes between the United States (US) and Iran.
“While crude oil prices have softened because of easing supply concerns and optimism over the US-Iran peace talks, diesel and middle distillate prices have strengthened due to signals of tight fundamentals,” the industry source explained.
Asian gasoline prices are holding steady due to strong demand and lower exports from China. However, ample fuel supply across the rest of the region is keeping prices from climbing any higher.
On the other hand, economic think tank ING Economics said global crude benchmarks are being pushed into “contango,” a condition in which oil is currently cheaper than oil for future delivery, triggering more market buying.