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Manila Bulletin devider Philippines devider Arkipelago Analytics released its latest voting preference survey

Arkipelago Analytics released its latest voting preference survey

Published Apr 1, 2026 03:35 pm
Arkipelago Analytics released its latest voting preference survey, showing a three-way tie for the top spot between Sebastian “Baste” Duterte (HNP), Raffy Tulfo (IND), and Vico Sotto (IND), each with 47 percent voter preference.
In the next tier are Robin Padilla (PDP), Loren Legarda (NPC), and Leni Robredo (LP), who each posted 42 percent.
Following them are Alan Peter Cayetano (NP), Paolo “Pulong” Duterte (HNP), and Francis Escudero (NPC), all with 39 percent.
The next group is composed of Mark Villar (NP), JV Ejercito, Rowena Guanzon (IND), Juan Edgardo Angara, Nancy Binay, and Grace Poe (NPC), each receiving 34 percent voter preference.
Manny Pacquiao (PFP), Jinggoy Estrada, and Jose Marie Borja “Vice Ganda” Viceral (IND) follow with 28 percent each.
Ben “Bitag” Tulfo (IND) and Jose Sixto Gonzales Dantes III (IND) each registered 25 percent.
The next cluster includes Bong Revilla, Mar Roxas, Francis Tolentino (PFP), Gringo Honasan (RP), and Franklin Drilon (LP) with 22 percent each.
In the succeeding group are Heidi Mendoza, Willie Revillame, Ralph Recto, and Vince Dizon with 19 percent each.
Meanwhile, registering 16 percent are Rex Gatchalian, Gibo Teodoro, Martin Romualdez (LAKAS), Phillip Salvador (PDPLBN), and Benhur Abalos (PFP).
Further down the list are Jimmy Bondoc (PDPLBN) with 10 percent; Chel Diokno and Bonifacio Bosita (IND) with 10 percent each; and Antonio Trillanes (LP), Vic Rodriguez, and Teddy Casiño (MKBYN) with 7 percent each.
At the lower end of the results are Teacher France Castro (MKBYN), Claire Castro, Ka Leody De Guzman, Doc Marites Mata (IND), Liza Maza, and Apollo Quiboloy at 5 percent.
The survey was implemented from February 26 to March 6, 2026 through face-to-face interviews with a nationally representative sample of 2,637 adults aged 18 years and above. The sampling design employed regional stratification across all 18 regions and further classification by urban and rural clusters. The national estimates carry a ±2 percent margin of error at a 96 percent confidence level, while subnational estimates for each geographic area carry a ±5 percent margin of error at a 95 percent confidence level.
Weighting adjustments were applied to align the regional distribution of respondents with COMELEC’s latest voter registration data, totaling 68,618,667 registered voters. The final weighted regional proportions were 11 percent National Capital Region, 45 percent Luzon excluding NCR, 20 percent Visayas, and 24 percent Mindanao. Gender distribution was likewise aligned with COMELEC data at 51 percent female and 49 percent male.
Socioeconomic classification followed established consumer segmentation standards in the Philippines, with respondents distributed as 7 percent from Class ABC, 75 percent from Class D, and 18 percent from Class E.

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