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Manila Bulletin devider Philippines devider National devider PAGASA: Low-pressure area enters PAR; may intensify into tropical cyclone 'Wilma' within 24 hours

PAGASA: Low-pressure area enters PAR; may intensify into tropical cyclone 'Wilma' within 24 hours

Five other weather systems expected to bring rain over parts of the Philippines in the coming days

Published Dec 3, 2025 08:04 pm
A low-pressure area east of Luzon entered the Philippine Area of Responsibility on December 3 and could develop into Tropical Cyclone ‘Wilma’ within 24 hours, PAGASA said. (MB Visual Content Group)
A low-pressure area east of Luzon entered the Philippine Area of Responsibility on December 3 and could develop into Tropical Cyclone ‘Wilma’ within 24 hours, PAGASA said. (MB Visual Content Group)
A low-pressure area (LPA) east of Luzon entered the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on Wednesday afternoon, December 3, and may develop into the first tropical cyclone of December, according to the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA).
Weather specialist Charmagne Varilla said the LPA entered PAR at around 2 p.m. and was last estimated to be 1,095 km east of Southeastern Luzon.
“Base sa ating latest satellite image, nakapasok na sa ating PAR ‘yung binabantayan nating LPA kaninang hapon (Based on our latest satellite image, the LPA we have been monitoring entered the PAR this afternoon),” Varilla said.
She added that the system still has a high chance of intensifying into a tropical depression within 24 hours. If it does, it will be named “Wilma.”
“Inaasahan natin na maaaring itong tumahak pa-kanluran at maaaring mag-landfall dito sa ilang parte ng Southern Luzon, Visayas, at Mindanao mula Biyernes hanggang Linggo (We expect it may move westward and could make landfall over parts of Southern Luzon, Visayas, and Mindanao between Friday and Sunday),” she explained.
PAGASA said the potential storm may track westward and could make landfall over parts of Southern Luzon, Visayas, or Mindanao between Friday and Sunday, although its exact path remains uncertain.
“Sa ngayon, mataas pa rin ‘yung uncertainty kung saan nga talaga tatahak itong binabantayan nating LPA (At present, there is still high uncertainty regarding the exact path the monitored LPA will take),” Varilla said.
Even without developing into a cyclone, the LPA may bring heavy rainfall over Visayas, Southern Luzon, and parts of Mindanao, increasing the risk of flash floods and landslides. Varilla said PAGASA may raise Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal No. 1 as early as Thursday, December 4.
Meanwhile, Varilla said the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) continues to affect southern Mindanao, while the northeast monsoon (amihan) prevails over Northern Luzon.
December 4 weather forecast
For December 4, PAGASA said Metro Manila and other parts of the country may experience localized thunderstorms that could trigger flash floods or landslides during severe episodes.
Cloudy skies with scattered rains and thunderstorms are expected over Basilan, Sulu, and Tawi-Tawi due to the ITCZ, with possible flash floods and landslides from moderate to heavy rainfall.
Cagayan Valley and the Cordillera Administrative Region will have cloudy skies with rains from the northeast monsoon, also posing risks of flooding and landslides.
Aurora, Quezon, and Camarines Norte will experience cloudy skies with scattered rains and isolated thunderstorms due to the shear line.
The Ilocos Region and the rest of Central Luzon will have partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated light rains, though no significant impacts are expected.
PAGASA urged the public and disaster authorities to stay updated as the LPA continues to move closer to the country. 

Related Tags

PAGASA weather update LPA PAR Wilma
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