ADVERTISEMENT

Cautious market awaits new catalysts amid bearish sentiment

Published Jan 19, 2025 09:39 pm

A lack of fresh leads is expected to keep the local stock market bearish this week, but bargain hunters may find opportunities as prices reach a seven-month low.

“The local market has turned more bearish last week as it extended its decline. At the same time, the market has broken below the 6,400 level which previously served as a support line. In its weekly chart, its 50-day and 200-day exponential moving averages are already about to form a death cross,” said Philstocks Financial Research Manager Japhet Tantiangco.

He noted that, this week, “we still expect the cautious atmosphere to remain in the local bourse amid the lack of fresh leads. Investors are expected to wait for new catalysts."

Tantiangco pointed out that the market decline last week was due to the rise in local long term treasury yields and a continuation of their rise may pull the equities market lower while a drop in rates may lead to the opposite.

“Investors may also watch the movements of the local currency against the US Dollar, with an appreciation expected to help while a depreciation is seen to weigh on the bourse. We may also see episodes of bargain hunting given that the local market is still at attractive levels, fundamentally speaking,” he added.

Online brokerage 2TradeAsia.com said the “shaky global capital markets were gripped by politico-economic anxiety ahead of Pres. Trump's official inauguration to the White House this week; apart from uncertainties in trade, immigration, and taxation, the overall well-being of the US economy has been sending pain signals to the rest of the globe.”

It noted that the recent correction in local equities erased gains of the past one to two quarters, but also put earnings multiples at some of the most compelling level.

However, the brokerage firm said market risk embedded in current prices may have some staying power in the medium-term so it advises investors to stay selective, with the upcoming earnings season (end-January to mid-March) “potentially providing windows to spark slumbering animal spirits.”

For stock picks, Abacus Securities Corporation favors mid-cap issues Manila Water Company, D&L Industries, and The Keepers Holdings Inc. due to their positive outlook this year.

Manila Water will benefit from a rate hike while D&L will gain from a higher biodiesel blend and higher output from its new plant. The Keepers will boost earnings with the addition of a new beer brand and its foray into the Cebu market.

COL Financial favors BDO Unibank and Metrobank as the banking business is seen to get a boost from continued loan growth momentum despite declining net interest margins.

“We believe that both banks are well-positioned to capitalize on growth opportunities as the Philippine economy expands. BDO’s extensive branch network and strong ties to the SM group should provide a significant advantage in this regard," according to COL.

“BDO and MBT also have healthy and liquid balance sheets to support growth. MBT’s strong capital foundation also gives it flexibility in dividend distributions, and we note that it has one of the highest dividend yields in the sector,” the brokerage firm also explained.

Related Tags

Japhet Tantiangco Philippine Stock Exchange index (PSEi) COL Financial Abacus Securities Corporation 2TradeAsia.com Philstocks Financial
ADVERTISEMENT
.most-popular .layout-ratio{ padding-bottom: 79.13%; } @media (min-width: 768px) and (max-width: 1024px) { .widget-title { font-size: 15px !important; } }

{{ articles_filter_1561_widget.title }}

.most-popular .layout-ratio{ padding-bottom: 79.13%; } @media (min-width: 768px) and (max-width: 1024px) { .widget-title { font-size: 15px !important; } }

{{ articles_filter_1562_widget.title }}

.most-popular .layout-ratio{ padding-bottom: 79.13%; } @media (min-width: 768px) and (max-width: 1024px) { .widget-title { font-size: 15px !important; } }

{{ articles_filter_1563_widget.title }}

{{ articles_filter_1564_widget.title }}

.mb-article-details { position: relative; } .mb-article-details .article-body-preview, .mb-article-details .article-body-summary{ font-size: 17px; line-height: 30px; font-family: "Libre Caslon Text", serif; color: #000; } .mb-article-details .article-body-preview iframe , .mb-article-details .article-body-summary iframe{ width: 100%; margin: auto; } .read-more-background { background: linear-gradient(180deg, color(display-p3 1.000 1.000 1.000 / 0) 13.75%, color(display-p3 1.000 1.000 1.000 / 0.8) 30.79%, color(display-p3 1.000 1.000 1.000) 72.5%); position: absolute; height: 200px; width: 100%; bottom: 0; display: flex; justify-content: center; align-items: center; padding: 0; } .read-more-background a{ color: #000; } .read-more-btn { padding: 17px 45px; font-family: Inter; font-weight: 700; font-size: 18px; line-height: 16px; text-align: center; vertical-align: middle; border: 1px solid black; background-color: white; } .hidden { display: none; }
function initializeAllSwipers() { // Get all hidden inputs with cms_article_id document.querySelectorAll('[id^="cms_article_id_"]').forEach(function (input) { const cmsArticleId = input.value; const articleSelector = '#article-' + cmsArticleId + ' .body_images'; const swiperElement = document.querySelector(articleSelector); if (swiperElement && !swiperElement.classList.contains('swiper-initialized')) { new Swiper(articleSelector, { loop: true, pagination: false, navigation: { nextEl: '#article-' + cmsArticleId + ' .swiper-button-next', prevEl: '#article-' + cmsArticleId + ' .swiper-button-prev', }, }); } }); } setTimeout(initializeAllSwipers, 3000); const intersectionObserver = new IntersectionObserver( (entries) => { entries.forEach((entry) => { if (entry.isIntersecting) { const newUrl = entry.target.getAttribute("data-url"); if (newUrl) { history.pushState(null, null, newUrl); let article = entry.target; // Extract metadata const author = article.querySelector('.author-section').textContent.replace('By', '').trim(); const section = article.querySelector('.section-info ').textContent.replace(' ', ' '); const title = article.querySelector('.article-title h1').textContent; // Parse URL for Chartbeat path format const parsedUrl = new URL(newUrl, window.location.origin); const cleanUrl = parsedUrl.host + parsedUrl.pathname; // Update Chartbeat configuration if (typeof window._sf_async_config !== 'undefined') { window._sf_async_config.path = cleanUrl; window._sf_async_config.sections = section; window._sf_async_config.authors = author; } // Track virtual page view with Chartbeat if (typeof pSUPERFLY !== 'undefined' && typeof pSUPERFLY.virtualPage === 'function') { try { pSUPERFLY.virtualPage({ path: cleanUrl, title: title, sections: section, authors: author }); } catch (error) { console.error('ping error', error); } } // Optional: Update document title if (title && title !== document.title) { document.title = title; } } } }); }, { threshold: 0.1 } ); function showArticleBody(button) { const article = button.closest("article"); const summary = article.querySelector(".article-body-summary"); const body = article.querySelector(".article-body-preview"); const readMoreSection = article.querySelector(".read-more-background"); // Hide summary and read-more section summary.style.display = "none"; readMoreSection.style.display = "none"; // Show the full article body body.classList.remove("hidden"); } document.addEventListener("DOMContentLoaded", () => { let loadCount = 0; // Track how many times articles are loaded const offset = [1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10]; // Offset values const currentUrl = window.location.pathname.substring(1); let isLoading = false; // Prevent multiple calls if (!currentUrl) { console.log("Current URL is invalid."); return; } const sentinel = document.getElementById("load-more-sentinel"); if (!sentinel) { console.log("Sentinel element not found."); return; } function isSentinelVisible() { const rect = sentinel.getBoundingClientRect(); return ( rect.top < window.innerHeight && rect.bottom >= 0 ); } function onScroll() { if (isLoading) return; if (isSentinelVisible()) { if (loadCount >= offset.length) { console.log("Maximum load attempts reached."); window.removeEventListener("scroll", onScroll); return; } isLoading = true; const currentOffset = offset[loadCount]; window.loadMoreItems().then(() => { let article = document.querySelector('#widget_1690 > div:nth-last-of-type(2) article'); intersectionObserver.observe(article) loadCount++; }).catch(error => { console.error("Error loading more items:", error); }).finally(() => { isLoading = false; }); } } window.addEventListener("scroll", onScroll); });

Sign up by email to receive news.