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PAGASA says short-lived La Niña conditions possible by late 2025

Philippines | National

PAGASA says short-lived La Niña conditions possible by late 2025

La Niña Watch issued

By Ellalyn De Vera-Ruiz

PAGASA

The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) said there is a growing chance of La Niña conditions developing by the last quarter of 2025, prompting the agency to issue a La Niña Watch on Tuesday, Aug. 26.

In its latest advisory, PAGASA said it continues to monitor the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) in the tropical Pacific.

Current data show that ENSO-neutral conditions, which means neither El Niño nor La Niña, are likely to persist until the August-September-October period.

However, model forecasts show an increasing probability of short-lived La Niña conditions forming between September and December.

La Niña, also known as the cool phase of ENSO, is characterized by unusually cooler-than-average sea surface temperatures in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific.

PAGASA issues a La Niña Watch when there is at least a 55 percent chance of development within the next six months.

Historically, La Niña brings above-normal rainfall and a higher frequency of tropical cyclones toward the end of the year, raising the risk of flooding and landslides in vulnerable areas.

PAGASA advised all concerned agencies and the public to remain alert and take precautionary measures as needed.

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PAGASA LA NIÑA LA NIÑA WATCH

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