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Manila Bulletin devider Philippines devider National devider Philippines may have 13 to 16 cyclones until end-2024

Philippines may have 13 to 16 cyclones until end-2024

Published May 16, 2024 10:47 am
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The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) on Thursday, May 16 said 13 to 16 tropical cyclones may enter or form within the country’s area of responsibility until the end of the year.

In a televised interview, PAGASA-Climate Monitoring and Prediction Section (CLIMPS) Officer-in-Charge Ana Liza Solis said they are not ruling out the possibility of some cyclones becoming destructive.

Solis explained that there are two extreme events that could be categorized as indicative of a destructive cyclone—powerful winds or excessive rainfall.

She made the statement in light of the growing probability of La Niña development in the third quarter, with anticipated effects on the country during the last quarter.

While the El Niño continues to weaken and may end in June, its effects are still evident in the country.

But PAGASA said the La Niña is expected to develop after a period of El Niño Southern Oscillation-neutral (ENSO-neutral) conditions, where neither El Niño nor La Niña conditions are prevalent.

PAGASA predicted a 60 percent chance of La Niña developing during the June-July-August season.

La Niña is usually associated with above normal rainfall conditions across most areas of the country during the last quarter of the year and early months of the following year.

Related Tags

La Niña PAGASA tropical cyclone El Niño
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