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What to expect in February: PAGASA releases possible rainfall conditions in the month of love

Published Feb 8, 2024 09:53 am

As the love month kicked off, the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical, and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) has unveiled the expected February rainfall conditions.

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In an advisory issued Feb. 6, the country's weather bureau predicted that rainfall conditions for the month are "below to below normal" over most parts of the country, with some exceptions of near-normal rainfall conditions over the provinces of Bukidnon, Davao Region, and Caraga.

Additionally, there is a 45 to 50 percent probability of below-normal rainfall conditions in most parts of the country.

"Likewise, by the end of February, twenty-four (24) provinces in Luzon and one (1) province in Visayas are potentially facing meteorological drought conditions; seventeen (17) provinces are experiencing dry spells, while ten (10) provinces are potentially facing dry conditions," PAGASA stated.

Furthermore, except Batanes, Camarines Norte, Romblon, Masbate, Bohol, Southern Leyte, and South Cotabato, the country may experience 'near-average to warmer than average' air temperatures.

 

Temperature forecast

 

PAGASA has forecasted various temperatures across the country: 18.5⁰C to 35⁰C over Metro Manila; 9.5⁰C to 27⁰C in the mountainous areas of Luzon; 13⁰C to 36.5⁰C for the rest of Luzon; 19⁰C to 36⁰C in the Visayas; 12⁰C to 35⁰C over the mountainous areas of Mindanao and 18⁰C to 37⁰C over the rest of Mindanao.

Additionally, PAGASA mentioned the Northeast Monsoon, localized thunderstorms, shear line, easterlies, Low Pressure Areas (LPAs), and the potential presence of zero or one tropical cyclone entering or developing within the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) for the month.

PAGASA also noted the influence of intra-seasonal and inter-annual climate modes such as the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) and El Niño among others.

 

El Niño

 

PAGASA has projected that 24 areas in the country might experience drought by the end of February.

Despite this, the agency remained committed to maintaining a vigilant watch on the ongoing El Niño phenomenon and monsoon activity.

READ:

https://mb.com.ph/2024/2/6/drought-to-prevail-over-24-areas-by-the-end-of-february-pagasa-1

"Areas potentially affected by meteorological dry spells and drought will be updated and disseminated accordingly," PAGASA said.

"All government agencies and the general public are encouraged to take precautionary measures to mitigate the adverse impacts of these climate phenomena," it added.

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