ADVERTISEMENT
Manila Bulletin devider Philippines devider National devider Typhoon-free days ahead: Philippines gets much-needed break after back-to-back cyclones 

Typhoon-free days ahead: Philippines gets much-needed break after back-to-back cyclones 

Published Nov 18, 2024 06:40 am
IMG_4602.jpeg
Tropical cyclone threat potential forecast for Nov. 18-Dec. 1, 2024 (Courtesy of PAGASA)

After enduring six successive strong cyclones, the Philippines is finally experiencing a much-needed break, with calmer weather conditions prevailing across the country.

Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) Weather Specialist Grace Castañeda said on Monday, Nov. 18, that as Typhoon Pepito (Man-yi) moves farther away from the country’s area of responsibility, weather conditions are expected to gradually improve across most of Luzon and other parts of the Philippines.

Pepito is expected to exit the Philippine area of responsibility between noon and afternoon on Monday.

In just one month, the Philippines was struck by a series of powerful tropical cyclones: Severe Tropical Storm Kristine (international name: Trami, Oct. 21-25), Super Typhoon Leon (Kong-rey, Oct. 27-Nov. 1), Typhoon Marce (Yinxing, Nov. 4-Nov. 8), Typhoon Nika (Toraji, Nov. 9-12), Super Typhoon Ofel (Usagi, Nov. 12-15), and Super Typhoon Pepito (Man-yi, Nov. 14-18).

READ MORE: https://mb.com.ph/2024/11/15/strong-cyclones-could-be-linked-to-climate-change-climate-expert-says

PAGASA Weather Specialist Junie Ruiz reassured the public that the chances of another cyclone forming immediately after Typhoon Pepito are low.

Based on the weather agency’s two-week tropical cyclone threat potential forecast from Nov. 18 to Dec. 1, tropical cyclone formation is unlikely.

However, Ruiz said a tropical cyclone-like vortex or circulation may develop during the second week of the forecast period. Despite this, the likelihood of it developing into a tropical cyclone remains low.

“Sa second week ng forecast period, hindi pa natin pwede i-ignore na ang tropical cyclone-like vortex ay pwede magingbagyo kung maging favorable sa tropical cyclone formation ang environmental conditions (In the second week of the forecast period, we cannot ignore the possibility that the tropical cyclone-like vortex could develop into a storm if environmental conditions become favorable for tropical cyclone formation),” he explained.

Ruiz added that PAGASA updates its tropical cyclone threat potential forecast three times a week—Mondays, Wednesdays, and Fridays—to keep the public informed.

He added that PAGASA is continuously monitoring the situation, particularly due to the current La Niña-like conditions.

READ MORE: https://mb.com.ph/2024/11/10/cyclones-associated-with-la-nina

In its climate outlook for November, PAGASA said that cool El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO)-neutral conditions persist across most of the tropical Pacific Ocean.

Based on the combination of climate models and expert assessments, there is a 71 percent likelihood of short-lived La Niña or La Niña-like conditions developing during the November-December-January period, with the possibility of these conditions continuing into the first quarter of 2025.

PAGASA said La Niña or La Niña-like conditions typically increase the likelihood of above-normal rainfall, which could lead to significant impacts, such as heavy rains, flooding, flash floods, and rain-induced landslides in highly vulnerable areas.

In addition, PAGASA’s historical data shows that one or two tropical cyclones may develop or enter the PAR in December, with most of these cyclones making landfall or crossing the country.

https://mb.com.ph/2024/10/28/records-show-stronger-landfalling-cyclones-in-the-last-quarter

Related Tags

PAGASA Man-yi Typhoon Pepito
ADVERTISEMENT
.most-popular .layout-ratio{ padding-bottom: 79.13%; } @media (min-width: 768px) and (max-width: 1024px) { .widget-title { font-size: 15px !important; } }

{{ articles_filter_1561_widget.title }}

{{ item.title }}
.most-popular .layout-ratio{ padding-bottom: 79.13%; } @media (min-width: 768px) and (max-width: 1024px) { .widget-title { font-size: 15px !important; } }

{{ articles_filter_1562_widget.title }}

{{ item.title }}
.most-popular .layout-ratio{ padding-bottom: 79.13%; } @media (min-width: 768px) and (max-width: 1024px) { .widget-title { font-size: 15px !important; } }

{{ articles_filter_1563_widget.title }}

{{ item.title }}

{{ articles_filter_1564_widget.title }}

{{ item.title }}
.mb-article-details { position: relative; } .mb-article-details .article-body-preview, .mb-article-details .article-body-summary{ font-size: 17px; line-height: 30px; font-family: "Libre Caslon Text", serif; color: #000; } .mb-article-details .article-body-preview iframe , .mb-article-details .article-body-summary iframe{ width: 100%; margin: auto; } .read-more-background { background: linear-gradient(180deg, color(display-p3 1.000 1.000 1.000 / 0) 13.75%, color(display-p3 1.000 1.000 1.000 / 0.8) 30.79%, color(display-p3 1.000 1.000 1.000) 72.5%); position: absolute; height: 200px; width: 100%; bottom: 0; display: flex; justify-content: center; align-items: center; padding: 0; } .read-more-background a{ color: #000; } .read-more-btn { padding: 17px 45px; font-family: Inter; font-weight: 700; font-size: 18px; line-height: 16px; text-align: center; vertical-align: middle; border: 1px solid black; background-color: white; } .hidden { display: none; }
function initializeAllSwipers() { // Get all hidden inputs with cms_article_id document.querySelectorAll('[id^="cms_article_id_"]').forEach(function (input) { const cmsArticleId = input.value; const articleSelector = '#article-' + cmsArticleId + ' .body_images'; const swiperElement = document.querySelector(articleSelector); if (swiperElement && !swiperElement.classList.contains('swiper-initialized')) { new Swiper(articleSelector, { loop: true, pagination: false, navigation: { nextEl: '#article-' + cmsArticleId + ' .swiper-button-next', prevEl: '#article-' + cmsArticleId + ' .swiper-button-prev', }, }); } }); } setTimeout(initializeAllSwipers, 3000); const intersectionObserver = new IntersectionObserver( (entries) => { entries.forEach((entry) => { if (entry.isIntersecting) { const newUrl = entry.target.getAttribute("data-url"); if (newUrl) { history.pushState(null, null, newUrl); let article = entry.target; // Extract metadata const author = article.querySelector('.author-section').textContent.replace('By', '').trim(); const section = article.querySelector('.section-info ').textContent.replace(' ', ' '); const title = article.querySelector('.article-title h1').textContent; // Parse URL for Chartbeat path format const parsedUrl = new URL(newUrl, window.location.origin); const cleanUrl = parsedUrl.host + parsedUrl.pathname; // Update Chartbeat configuration if (typeof window._sf_async_config !== 'undefined') { window._sf_async_config.path = cleanUrl; window._sf_async_config.sections = section; window._sf_async_config.authors = author; } // Track virtual page view with Chartbeat if (typeof pSUPERFLY !== 'undefined' && typeof pSUPERFLY.virtualPage === 'function') { try { pSUPERFLY.virtualPage({ path: cleanUrl, title: title, sections: section, authors: author }); } catch (error) { console.error('ping error', error); } } // Optional: Update document title if (title && title !== document.title) { document.title = title; } } } }); }, { threshold: 0.1 } ); function showArticleBody(button) { const article = button.closest("article"); const summary = article.querySelector(".article-body-summary"); const body = article.querySelector(".article-body-preview"); const readMoreSection = article.querySelector(".read-more-background"); // Hide summary and read-more section summary.style.display = "none"; readMoreSection.style.display = "none"; // Show the full article body body.classList.remove("hidden"); } document.addEventListener("DOMContentLoaded", () => { let loadCount = 0; // Track how many times articles are loaded const offset = [1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10]; // Offset values const currentUrl = window.location.pathname.substring(1); let isLoading = false; // Prevent multiple calls if (!currentUrl) { console.log("Current URL is invalid."); return; } const sentinel = document.getElementById("load-more-sentinel"); if (!sentinel) { console.log("Sentinel element not found."); return; } function isSentinelVisible() { const rect = sentinel.getBoundingClientRect(); return ( rect.top < window.innerHeight && rect.bottom >= 0 ); } function onScroll() { if (isLoading) return; if (isSentinelVisible()) { if (loadCount >= offset.length) { console.log("Maximum load attempts reached."); window.removeEventListener("scroll", onScroll); return; } isLoading = true; const currentOffset = offset[loadCount]; window.loadMoreItems().then(() => { let article = document.querySelector('#widget_1690 > div:nth-last-of-type(2) article'); intersectionObserver.observe(article) loadCount++; }).catch(error => { console.error("Error loading more items:", error); }).finally(() => { isLoading = false; }); } } window.addEventListener("scroll", onScroll); });
Join Our Newsletters

Sign up by email to receive news.

© 2025 Manila Bulletin The Nation's Leading Newspaper. All Rights Reserved.