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Manila Bulletin devider Business devider Philippine population expected to exceed 138 million by 2055

Philippine population expected to exceed 138 million by 2055

Published Jan 31, 2024 08:38 am

At A Glance

  • The Philippine Statistics Authority projected the Philippine population to reach 138.67 million in 2055.<br>This adds around 29.47 million people to the current 109.20 million, based on the 2020 census.<br>On the other hand, the total fertility rate is projected to decline from 2.1 children per woman in 2020 to 1.9 children in the next few years.<br>Annual growth rate to decline from 0.84 percent to 0.35 percent in the next few years.<br>The population of senior citizens comprised 8.5 percent of the midyear population in 2020 and is projected to increase to about 19.6 percent of the projected midyear population in 2055.<br>Those who are capable of bearing a child comprised about one-fourth (25.6 percent) of the midyear population in 2020, though will slightly decline to 23.3 percent in 2055.<br>Working people accounted for 64.0 percent of the midyear population in 2020, and is expected to increase to 67.0 percent of the projected midyear population by 2055.

Over the next three decades, the population of the Philippines is projected to experience substantial growth, with an average annual increase of 842,000 individuals. 

According to the Philippine Statistics Authority's (PSA) 2020 Census-Based National Population Projections, the country's population is forecasted to surpass 138.67 million by the year 2055.

This indicates that approximately 29.47 million individuals will be added to the 2020 population of 109.20 million over the course of 35 years.

The PSA's estimate is based on scenario 2, which the PSA recommends for the “utilization in policy and programming purposes.”

The agency also said that the total fertility rate, or the average number of children that are born to a woman over her lifetime, is projected to decline from 2.1 children per woman in 2020 to 1.9 children in the next few years, under scenario 2.

“For Scenario 1, the total fertility rate for years 2021 and 2022 is estimated to be at 1.9 children based on the results of the 2022 National Demographic and Health Survey and assumed to rebound to a TFR of 2.1 children, which is the replacement level, from 2025 until 2055,” the PSA stated.

“Scenario 3 assumes a continuous decline such that by 2055, the TFR is at 1.7 children,” it added.

On the other hand, the average annual growth rate may decline for the period 2020 to 2025 from 0.84 percent to 0.35 percent for the period 2050 to 2055.

Meanwhile, the population of senior citizens, or those 60 and above, comprised about 8.5 percent of the midyear population in 2020 and is projected to increase to about 19.6 percent of the projected midyear population in 2055.

Those who are capable of bearing a child, or those ages 15 to 49 years old, comprised about one-fourth (25.6 percent) of the midyear population in 2020, though will slightly decline to 23.3 percent in 2055.

Working people, that is 15 to 64 years old, accounted for 64.0 percent of the midyear population in 2020, and is expected to increase to 67.0 percent of the projected midyear population by 2055.

Related Tags

Philippine Statistics Authority Philippine population Fertility rate
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