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PAGASA not ruling out TD Jenny landfall in extreme Northern Luzon

Published Sep 29, 2023 10:24 am

At A Glance

  • Jenny was located 1,400 kilometers east of southeastern Luzon, moving westward at 20 kilometers per hour (kph).
  • Tropical cyclone wind warnings may be raised over Northern Luzon as early as Sunday, Oct. 1 in anticipation of Jenny's strong winds.
  • The cyclone-enhanced outhwest monsoon, or "habagat," may bring occasional rains over the western portions of Central and Southern Luzon.

Tropical depression Jenny may likely move close to Batanes, but the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) is not ruling out a potential landfall over Batanes-Babuyan or the northeastern portion of Cagayan by mid-week.

In its 5 p.m. bulletin on Friday, Sept. 29, PAGASA said Jenny was located 1,400 kilometers east of southeastern Luzon, moving westward at 20 kilometers per hour (kph).

“Jenny is forecast to track generally westward or west-northwestward until Saturday (Sept. 30) before turning further north over the Philippine Sea east of Northern and Central Luzon,” PAGASA said.

“On the forecast track, [Jenny will have] a close approach over the Batanes area by Wednesday (Oct. 4). A landfall scenario over Batanes-Babuyan or northeastern mainland Cagayan is not ruled out since this is within the forecast confidence cone,” it pointed out.

Jenny has maximum sustained winds of 45 kilometers per hour (kph) near the center and gusts of up to 55 kph.

PAGASA said tropical cyclone wind warnings may be raised over Northern Luzon as early as Sunday, Oct. 1 in anticipation of Jenny’s strong winds.

It also pointed out that Jenny may enhance the southwest monsoon, or “habagat,” which may lead to occasional rains over the western portions of Central and Southern Luzon.

The tropical depression is expected to “steadily intensify” and become a tropical storm by Saturday afternoon, and a typhoon by Wednesday as it approaches Batanes.

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