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Manila Bulletin devider Philippines devider National devider Most of PH may receive 'below-normal' rainfall by October — PAGASA

Most of PH may receive 'below-normal' rainfall by October — PAGASA

Published Apr 27, 2023 06:46 am
There is a “high probability” that most parts of the country may experience “below-normal” rainfall in October this year, based on the latest rainfall forecast of the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA). In the rainfall forecast made public during the climate outlook forum on Wednesday, April 27, PAGASA said that the rainfall will be “generally below-normal in most parts of Luzon and Visayas, while [it will be] near-normal in Mindanao and the rest of the country.” (Photo by Pixabay)
The El Niño or warm phase is expected to develop by the May–June–July season, but PAGASA said that its effects might not be felt until the end of the year. Unusually warmer-than-average sea surface temperatures in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific characterize this climate phenomenon. According to PAGASA, El Niño raises the likelihood of below-average rainfall conditions, which might have adverse impact, including drought and dry spells in several parts of the country.

(Courtesy of PAGASA)


Based on PAGASA’s rainfall forecast from May to June, generally near-normal rainfall may prevail, with higher probability for near-to-above normal rainfall throughout the country. By July, generally near-normal rainfall may persist in most parts of the country, with patches of above-normal rainfall in Luzon and below-normal rainfall in Davao City, Davao del Sur, and Cotabato. By August, PAGASA said generally near-to-above normal rainfall may prevail over most parts of the country except for some areas in the Bicol Region, Visayas, and Mindanao that may experience below normal rainfall. By September, generally near-normal rainfall may affect most parts of the country except for Camarines Sur that may receive below-normal rainfall.

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