11 p.m., Oct. 31
All TCWS has been lifted in relation to Paeng.
Paeng will continue tracking north-northwestward until Tuesday before turning northwestward on Wednesday and west-northwestward on Thursday while approaching the coast of southern China. Paeng may reach the typhoon category within 12 hours. However, a weakening trend due to cooler seas and increasingly unfavorable atmospheric conditions may begin by Tuesday evening or on Wednesday.
5 p.m., Oct. 31
Severe tropical storm Paeng (international name: Nalgae) exited the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) at 12:10 p.m. PAGASA said that the center of Paeng was last seen 400 kilometers west of Sinait, Ilocos Sur.
Paeng is expected to track northward in the next 12 hours before gradually turning northwestward to west-northwestward towards southern China and might reach typhoon category Monday night or early morning on Tuesday. After reaching its peak intensity, a weakening trend is expected by Wednesday.
11 a.m., Oct. 31
Tropical storm Paeng (international name: Nalgae) has intensified and is once again a severe tropical storm. Paeng was last seen at 375 kilometers (km) west of Dagupan City, Pangasinan. It packs maximum sustained winds of 95 km per hour (kph) near the center and gustiness of up to 115 kph.
5 a.m., Oct. 31
Tropical storm Paeng is expected to exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on Monday afternoon or evening, Oct. 31. Paeng was last spotted 320 kilometers (km) West Northwest of Iba, Zambales or 340 km West of Dagupan City, Pangasinan. Paeng packs maximum sustained winds of 85 kilometers per hour (kph) near the center with gustiness of up to 105 kph and is moving west-northwestward at 10 kph.
Signal No. 1 is still hoisted in most parts of Luzon.
TD 'Queenie' has entered PAR.
11 p.m., Oct. 30
Tropical storm Paeng maintained its strength while moving east southeastward away from the Philippine landmass, said the state weather bureau. It was last seen 255 kilometers (km) west of Iba, Zambales, packing winds of 85 kilometers per hour (kph) and gustiness of up to 105 kph.
Signal No. 1 is still hoisted in most parts of Luzon. The weather disturbance will exit the Philippine area of responsibility on Monday, Oct. 31.
5 p.m., Oct. 30
Tropical storm Paeng (international name: Nalgae) continues to move away from the country’s landmass. Wind Signal No. 1 , however, remained hoisted over several parts of Luzon.
According to the state weather bureau, moderate to heavy rains may still be experienced in Zambales, Bataan, Aurora, Pangasinan, Batanes, and the northern portion of Cagayan including Babuyan Islands until Monday, Oct. 31. The weather disturbance will exit the Philippine boundary on Monday.
11 a.m., Oct. 30
Tropical storm Paeng (international name: Nalgae) is now moving northwestward over the West Philippine Sea.
Paeng exited the Luzon landmass at 2 a.m. on Oct. 30. Despite this development, the weather disturbance’s impacts, such as moderate to heavy rains and strong winds, may still be felt in several parts of the country.
On PAGASA’s latest forecast track, this tropical cyclone may exit the Philippine area of responsibility (PAR) on Monday morning, Oct. 31 or afternoon.
2 a.m., Oct. 30
Cyclone Paeng (international name: Nalgae) has weakened into a tropical storm and is about to exit the landmass of Luzon, said the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) on early Sunday morning, Oct. 30.
Paeng was last detected in the vicinity of Candelaria, Zambales with maximum sustained winds of 85 kilometers per hour (kph) and gustiness of up to 140 kph.
11 p.m., Oct. 29
The state weather bureau, on Saturday evening, Oct. 29, said severe tropical storm Paeng (international name: Nalgae) will likely exit the Luzon landmass within 6 to 12 hours, adding that based on the latest forecast track, it may leave the Philippine area of responsibility (PAR) on Monday, Oct. 31.
Paeng has crossed the Laguna de Bay and the Metro Manila-Rizal-Bulacan area and is now in the vicinity of Baliuag, Bulacan. It has maximum sustained winds of 95 kilometers per hour (kph) and gustiness of up to 160 kph.
8 p.m., Oct. 29
Severe tropical storm Paeng (international name: Nalgae) is now traversing the northern portion of Cavite. It was last spotted in the vicinity of General Mariano Alvarez, Cavite, packing maximum winds of 95 kilometers per hour (kph) and gustiness of up to 115 kph.
After traversing the Cavite area, the weather disturbance will cross the southern portion of Bataan.
Signal No. 3 remained hoisted in the following areas in Luzon: the central and southern portions of Zambales, Bataan, the southern portion of Bulacan, the western portion of Pampanga, Metro Manila, the southwestern portion of Quezon, Laguna, Batangas, Cavite, Rizal, the northwestern portion of Occidental Mindoro including Lubang Islands, and the northwestern portion of Oriental Mindoro.
5 p.m., Oct. 29
Paeng was last seen in the vicinity of San Pablo City, Laguna.
Although it already made landfall five times, the state weather bureau said Paeng may “maintain its strength while traversing the Luzon landmass.” Its fifth and latest landfall scenario was recorded in Sariaya, Quezon at 1:40 p.m.
Based on PAGASA’s latest forecast track, Paeng will continue to barrel through the Philippine landmass and will traverse the Cavite-Batangas area.
2 p.m., Oct. 29
Severe tropical storm Paeng (international name: Nalgae) is about to make its 5th landfall, said the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical, and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA).
It was last spotted over the coastal waters of San Juan, Batangas with maximum sustained winds of 95 kilometers per hour (kph) and gustiness of up to 130 kph.
Tropical Cyclone Wind Signals are still raised as Paeng barrels through the country’s landmass.
Signal No. 3 remained hoisted in Metro Manila, Bataan, the southern portion of Zambales, Marinduque, the northern and central portions of Quezon including Polillo Islands, Laguna, Batangas, Cavite, Rizal, the northwestern portion of Occidental Mindoro including Lubang Islands, and the northern portion of Oriental Mindoro.
11 a.m., Oct. 29
In less than 24 hours, severe tropical storm Paeng (international name: Nalgae) already made landfall four times. Its most recent landfall scenario was recorded in Santa Cruz, Marinduque at 8:40 a.m.
According to PAGASA, it may make another landfall in the vicinity of the southeastern portion of Batangas before traversing the Cavite-Metro Manila-Bataan Peninsula area on Saturday, Oct. 29.
Paeng may exit the Philippine area of responsibility (PAR) on Monday evening, Oct. 31.
8 a.m., Oct. 29
Paeng made its third landfall over Buenavista, Quezon at 6 a.m., said the state weather bureau.
Based on the latest forecast track, the center of Paeng is expected to pass close or make landfall in the vicinity of Marinduque on Saturday morning, Oct. 29 before traversing the CALABARZON-Metro Manila-Bataan Peninsula area for the remainder of the day.
Wind Signal No. 3 was hoisted in Camarines Norte, the western portion of Camarines Sur, Marinduque, Quezon including Polillo Islands, Laguna, Batangas, Cavite, Metro Manila, and Rizal as Paeng barrels through Luzon.
Areas under Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal No. 2 include Catanduanes, Albay, the western portion of Sorsogon, the western portion of Masbate including Burias Island, the southern portion of Aurora, Bulacan, Pampanga, Bataan, Tarlac, Zambales, Nueva Ecija, Pangasinan, the rest of Camarines Sur, Romblon, Oriental Mindoro, and Occidental Mindoro including Lubang Islands.
Meanwhile, Wind Signal No. 1 was raised in Isabela, Nueva Vizcaya, Quirino, Kalinga, Ifugao, Mountain Province, Benguet, Ilocos Sur, La Union, the rest of Aurora, the rest of Sorsogon, the rest of Masbate including Ticao Island, and the northern portion of Palawan including Calamian and Cuyo Islands, Northern Samar, Samar, Eastern Samar, Biliran, Leyte, Southern Leyte, Cebu including Bantayan and Camotes Islands, Bohol, Negros Occidental, Negros Oriental, Guimaras, Aklan, Antique, Capiz, and Iloilo.
5 a.m., Oct. 29
Severe tropical storm Paeng (international name: Nalgae) was last spotted in the vicinity of Siruma, Camarines Sur. It has maximum sustained winds of 95 kilometers per hour (kph) near the center and gustiness of up to 160 kph.
The weather disturbance made its first landfall in Virac, Catanduanes at 1:10 a.m. Its second landfall was recorded in Caramoan, Camarines Sur at 1:40 a.m.
2 a.m., Oct. 29
Cyclone Paeng (international name: Nalgae) intensified into a severe tropical storm.
Due to this weather disturbance, heavy to intense rains will persist over Bicol region, Western Visayas, Quezon, Polillo Islands, Marinduque, Romblon, Samar, Northern Samar, Eastern Samar, Occidental Mindoro and Oriental Mindoro until Saturday morning.
Paeng will then begin to drench Metro Manila and nearby areas with intense rains as it further traverses Luzon.
“Heavy to intense rains to at times torrential rains possible over Metro Manila, CALABARZON, Marinduque, Occidental Mindoro, and Oriental Mindoro ,” said PAGASA.
PAGASA is still not ruling out the possibility of a landfall scenario over the Albay-Catanduanes area in the next 6 hours. Paeng may weaken into a tropical storm after its interaction with the Luzon landmass.
11 p.m., Oct. 28
The center of tropical storm Paeng was already over the coastal waters of Rapu-Rapu, Albay, according to the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA).
Paeng was moving west-northwestward at a speed of 25 kilometers per hour (kph), while packing maximum sustained winds of 85 kph near the center and gusts of up to 105 kph.
Based on its latest track, the storm may make landfall in Albay-Camarines Sur area or Catanduanes late Friday night, Oct. 28, or early Saturday morning, Oct. 29.
After its landfall, PAGASA said the storm may likely to cross the Bicol peninsula until early Saturday afternoon and cross Calabarzon (Cavite, Laguna, Batangas, Rizal, Quezon) and Metro Manila until evening.
“After emerging over Manila Bay, Paeng will briefly pass very close or over the Bataan peninsula between tomorrow late evening (Oct. 29) and Sunday early morning (Oct. 30),” PAGASA said.
8 p.m., Oct. 28
The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) last spotted tropical storm Paeng (international name: Nalgae) 100 kilometers (km) east-northeast of Catarman, Northern Samar or 165 km east of Juban, Sorsogon.
“On the forecast track the center of Paeng may make its initial landfall in the vicinity of Albay or Sorsgon this late evening (Oct. 28) or tomorrow early morning (Oct. 29) and traverse the Bicol Peninsula before emerging over the coastal waters of Quezon. Between tomorrow afternoon and evening (Oct. 29), the center of Paeng may make another landfall over the east coast of Quezon,” PAGASA said.
However, PAGASA has not ruled out a possible change in the landfall scenario due to the southward shift in the forecast track.
As of 8 p.m., Paeng was moving at a speed of 25 kilometers per hour (kph), while it maintained maximum sustained winds of 85 kph near the center and gusts of up to 105 kph.
5 p.m., Oct. 28
The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) said tropical storm Paeng (international name: Nalgae) was last spotted 180 kilometers east of Catarman, Northern Samar.
It was moving west-northwestward at a speed of 25 kilometers per hour (kph), while packing maximum sustained winds of 85 kph near the center and gusts of up to 105 kph.
“Tropical storm Paeng is forecast to continue moving west-northwestward through Sunday (Oct. 30). On the forecast track the center of Paeng may make landfall or pass close to Northern Samar tonight (Oct. 28),” PAGASA said.
“Afterwards, this tropical cyclone will traverse the Bicol Region this late evening (Oct. 28) through tomorrow morning (Oct. 29). Between tomorrow afternoon and evening, the center of Paeng may make another landfall over the east coast of Quezon, including Polillo Islands,” it added.
Paeng is also expected to intensify into a severe tropical storm in 12 hours.
2 p.m., Oct. 28
The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) last spotted tropical storm Paeng 155 kilometers (km) east-northeast of Borongan City, Eastern Samar or 245 km east-southeast of Catarman, Northern Samar.
It was moving westward at a speed of 30 kilometers per hour (kph), while it maintained maximum sustained winds of 75 kph near the center and gusts of up to 90 kph.
Based on the latest analysis, a possible close approach or landfall in Eastern Samar or Northern Samar this afternoon or evening is “not ruled out.”
“Afterwards, Paeng will move generally west-northwestward and may traverse the Bicol Region tonight (Oct. 28) through tomorrow morning (Oct. 29). Between tomorrow afternoon and evening, the center of Paeng may make another landfall over the east coast of Quezon, including Polillo Islands, or Aurora,” PAGASA said.
11 a.m., Oct. 28
The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) said tropical storm Paeng (international name: Nalgae) was estimated 220 kilometers (km) east-northeast of Borongan City, Eastern Samar, or 305 km of Catarman, Northern Samar.
The movement of the storm accelerated to a speed of 25 kilometers per hour (kph) west-northwest toward the Bicol Region.
After its landfall in Catanduanes early Saturday morning, Oct. 29, Paeng may pass the northern part of Camarines Sur, then the eastern part of Camarines Norte.
By Sunday morning, Oct. 30, PAGASA said the center of Paeng may make another landfall over the coastal area of eastern Quezon, including Polillo Islands, or Aurora.
Meanwhile, Paeng has maintained its maximum sustained winds of 75 kph near the center and gustiness of up to 90 kph.
“Paeng is forecast to further intensify while moving over the warm waters of the Philippine Sea and may reach the severe tropical storm category within 24 hours,” PAGASA said.
However, it pointed out that because of a landfall scenario in Bicol Region, Paeng is now less likely to intensify into a typhoon and there is an “increasing likelihood” that Paeng may remain a severe tropical storm.
“Per latest track and intensity forecast, the highest wind signal that will likely be hoisted is Wind Signal No. 3 in anticipation of storm-force conditions associated with Paeng,” PAGASA said.
5 a.m., Oct. 28
The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) last spotted tropical storm Paeng 410 kilometers east of Borongan City, Eastern Samar, and it was moving westward at 15 kilometers per hour (kph).
It said Paeng may move west-northwestward over the Philippine Sea until Sunday, Oct. 30, while moving toward the central or southern portion of Luzon.
Paeng is still expected to make landfall in or pass very close to Catanduanes by Saturday morning, Oct. 29.
Meanwhile, another landfall scenario is likely over Aurora or the coastal areas of eastern Quezon, including Polillo Islands on Sunday morning.
“Considering the southward shift in the forecast track, a possible landfall in the eastern portion of Bicol Region is not ruled out at this time,” PAGASA pointed out.
PAGASA said Paeng slightly intensified packing maximum sustained winds of 75 kph near the center and gusts of up to 90 kph.
11 p.m., Oct. 27
The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) last spotted tropical storm Paeng 485 kilometers east of Borongan City, Eastern Samar, and it was slowly moving westward.
It is packing maximum sustained winds of 65 kilometers per hour (kph) near the center and gusts of up to 80 kph.
“On the forecast track, Paeng may make landfall or pass very close to Catanduanes on Saturday. Another landfall scenario is possible on Sunday (Oct. 30) over Aurora or the east coast of Quezon,” PAGASA said.
“Considering the southward shift in the forecast track, a possible landfall in the eastern portion of Bicol Region is not ruled out at this time,” it added.
5 p.m., Oct. 27
Tropical storm Paeng (international name: Nalgae) maintained its strength while traversing the Philippine Sea. Last spotted 510 kilometers (km) east of Borongan City, eastern Samar, the weather disturbance was packing winds of 65 kilometers per hour (kph) and gustiness of up to 80 kph.
“Paeng is forecast to further intensify while moving over the warm waters of the Philippine Sea. It is forecast to reach severe tropical storm category within 24 hours and may intensify into a typhoon by Saturday, . The occurrence of rapid intensification in the next 72 hours is not ruled out,” said the state weather bureau.
Meanwhile, the following areas were placed under Wind Signal No. 1 as of 5 p.m. on Thursday, Oct. 27: the eastern portion of Camarines Sur, Catanduanes, Albay, Sorsogon, and Masbate including Ticao Island and Burias Island, eastern Samar, Northern Samar, Samar, Biliran, and the northern portion of Leyte.
11 a.m., Oct. 27
The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) said tropical storm Paeng was estimated 540 kilometers east of Borongan City in Eastern Samar as of 10 a.m., and is moving west-northwestward at 10 kph.
“Tropical storm Paeng is forecast to track generally west-northwestward over the Philippine Sea through Sunday (Oct. 30), while moving towards the central or northern portion of Luzon,” PAGASA said.
“On the forecast track, Paeng may pass close to Catanduanes on Saturday (Oct. 29), and a landfall scenario is possible on Sunday within any of the coastal areas along the eastern portions of Central Luzon or mainland Cagayan Valley,” it added.
However, PAGASA has not ruled out a possible southward shift in the forecast landfall, which could be over the eastern portion of Southern Luzon, due to the recent shift in Paeng’s track.
5 a.m., Oct. 27
The center of tropical depression Paeng was last spotted 660 kilometers east of Borongan City, Eastern Samar.
“Tropical depression Paeng is forecast to track generally west-northwestward over the Philippine Sea through Sunday (Oct. 30), while moving towards the northern or central portion of Luzon. On the forecast track, a landfall scenario is possible on Sunday within any of the coastal areas along the eastern portions of Central Luzon or mainland Cagayan Valley,” the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) said.
It pointed out that with the recent shift in the forecast track, “a possible southward shift in the possible area of landfall—i.e. towards the eastern portions of Central or Southern Luzon—is not ruled out at this time.”
As of Wednesday, the weather disturbance has maximum sustained winds of 55 kilometers per hour (kph) near the center and gusts of up to 70 kph.
“Paeng may further intensify while moving over warm waters of the Philippine Sea. It is forecast to reach tropical storm category within 24 hours and may become a typhoon by Saturday (Oct. 29). The occurrence of rapid intensification in the next 72 hours is not ruled out,” PAGASA said.
11 p.m., Oct. 26
Tropical depression Paeng was last spotted 725 kilometers east of Borongan City, Eastern Samar.
The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) said it is likely to move west until Thursday morning or noon, Oct. 27, before turning west-northwest or northwest the rest of Thursday until Sunday afternoon, Oct. 30, while approaching Northern Luzon.
“On the forecast track, a landfall scenario is possible within any of the coastal areas along the eastern portion of mainland Cagayan Valley or the northern portion of Aurora on Sunday,” PAGASA said.
As of Wednesday, tropical depression Paeng maintained its maximum sustained winds of 45 kilometers per hour (kph) near the center and gusts of up to 55 kph.
“Based on the latest forecast scenario, tropical cyclone wind signal may be hoisted for some areas in Eastern Visayas and Bicol Region tomorrow morning (Oct. 27) at the earliest,” it added.
5 p.m., Oct. 26
Tropical depression Paeng was estimated to be 945 kilometers (km) east of Eastern Visayas, and was moving westward at 10 kilometers per hour.
“On the forecast track, this tropical cyclone is forecast to maintain this heading until it makes landfall on the eastern coast of Isabela or Cagayan,” said the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA).
It has maintained its maximum sustained winds of 45 kph near the center and gusts of up to 55 kph.
“Paeng is forecast to intensify into a tropical storm tomorrow (Oct. 27) further intensification is likely while moving over the Philippine Sea and may reach the typhoon category prior to its landfall,” PAGASA said.
A typhoon has maximum sustained winds of 118 kph to 184 kph.
11 a.m., Oct. 26
The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) said tropical depression Paeng was estimated at 965 kilometers east of Eastern Visayas and was moving slowly west-northwestward.
“Tropical depression Paeng is forecast to track generally westward until tomorrow afternoon (Oct. 27), then it will turn west-northwestward for the remainder of tomorrow through Saturday morning (Oct. 29). Afterwards, Paeng will begin to move northwestward on Saturday afternoon or evening and may pass close to Northern Luzon on Sunday (Oct. 30) or Monday (Oct. 31),” PAGASA said.
It added that a landfall scenario in Northern Luzon is not ruled out.
Paeng has maximum sustained winds of 45 kilometers per hour (kph) near the center and gustiness of up to 55 kph.
“Based on the latest forecast scenario, tropical cyclone wind signal may be hoisted for some areas in Eastern Visayas and Bicol Region tomorrow morning (Oct. 27) at the earliest,” PAGASA said.
“Per latest track and intensity forecast, the most likely highest wind signal that will be hoisted is Wind Signal No. 4,” it added.
8 a.m., Oct. 26
The low pressure area (LPA) east of Visayas became a tropical depression.
The tropical depression, which will be locally known as “Paeng,” is the country’s 15th tropical cyclone for 2022 and the fourth for October.