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Manila Bulletin devider Philippines devider National devider LPA east of Visayas becomes tropical depression Paeng; landfall 'not ruled out' — PAGASA

LPA east of Visayas becomes tropical depression Paeng; landfall 'not ruled out' — PAGASA

Published Oct 26, 2022 10:53 am

Tropical depression Paeng (PAGASA FACEBOOK PAGE)

The low pressure area (LPA) east of Eastern Visayas became a tropical depression at 8 a.m. on Wednesday, Oct. 26, said the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA).

The tropical depression, which will be locally known as “Paeng,” is the country’s 15th tropical cyclone for 2022 and the fourth for October.

Paeng was estimated at 965 kilometers east of Eastern Visayas and was moving slowly west-northwestward.

“Tropical depression Paeng is forecast to track generally westward until tomorrow afternoon (Oct. 27), then it will turn west-northwestward for the remainder of tomorrow through Saturday morning (Oct. 29). Afterwards, Paeng will begin to move northwestward on Saturday afternoon or evening and may pass close to Northern Luzon on Sunday (Oct. 30) or Monday (Oct. 31),” PAGASA said.

It added that a landfall scenario in Northern Luzon is not ruled out.

Paeng has maximum sustained winds of 45 kilometers per hour (kph) near the center and gustiness of up to 55 kph.

“Based on the latest forecast scenario, tropical cyclone wind signal may be hoisted for some areas in Eastern Visayas and Bicol Region tomorrow morning (Oct. 27) at the earliest,” PAGASA said.

“Per latest track and intensity forecast, the most likely highest wind signal that will be hoisted is Wind Signal No. 4,” it added.

PAGASA said that Paeng may further intensify while crossing the Philippine Sea and reach the typhoon status by Saturday.

Heavy rains

PAGASA said Paeng may bring heavy to torrential rains over Bicol Region from Friday morning to Saturday morning, Oct. 28 to 29.

Moderate to intense rains may also prevail over Eastern Visayas, Oriental Mindoro, Occidental Mindoro, Marinduque, Romblon, Quezon, Aurora, Isabela, and Cagayan, while light to heavy rains are possible over Rizal, Laguna, Nueva Ecija, Bulacan, Cordillera Administrative Region, and the rest of Visayas and Cagayan Valley.

From Saturday morning to Sunday, Oct. 29 to 30, heavy to torrential rains may persist in Cagayan, Isabela, Apayao, and the northern portion of Aurora.

Moderate to intense rains may also continue in Ilocos Norte and the rest of Aurora, Cagayan Valley, and Cordillera Administrative Region.

Light to heavy rains are also possible over Western Visayas and the rest of Luzon.

“Under these conditions, flooding and rain-induced landslides are possible, especially in areas that are highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards as identified in hazard maps and in localities with significant antecedent rainfall,” PAGASA warned.

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