XBB Covid-19 wave in Metro Manila may be coming to an end, says OCTA expert

OCTA Research fellow Dr. Guido David said the further decrease in Metro Manila’s number of Covid-19 cases may be an indication that the ongoing wave of infections caused by the XBB subvariant may be coming to an end.
“The wave of Omicron BA.5 in Metro Manila started in June and then had a peak. Then there was another increase when September came. We couldn’t explain then why but now it’s clear that the increase is because of XBB,” David said in Filipino in a public briefing on Tuesday, Oct. 25.
The XBB Omicron subvariant is also known as BA.2.10.
According to David, OCTA has continued to observe a decrease in the number of Covid-19 cases in Metro Manila, as well as in nearby regions, in recent weeks.
“Perhaps the XBB wave is about to end. I hope it continues until December. We can’t guarantee that, but that’s what we hope for,” he said.
“But there are still provinces that are seeing an increase in the positivity rate and the number of cases. These are the places that are quite far from Metro Manila, including Tarlac and some provinces in northern Luzon. The same is true in Western Visayas and other parts of Mindanao, including Misamis Oriental,” he pointed out.
David explained that the Omicron subvariants like XBB, or XBC, may have entered these areas relatively late.
“These subvariants are really unpredictable and we have seen it recently. Just after our BA.5 wave, we had another increase in XBB recombinant cases and XBC. So it is possible that we may still see an increase in the number of cases, as there are still many Covid-19 subvariants all over the world,” David said.
“But of course, what we are closely monitoring is the health care utilization and so far this year it has remained low in Metro Manila and many other places. That’s part of living with the virus and returning to normal because we see the cases do not threaten our healthcare system too much,” he added.