Decline in new Covid-19 cases in Metro Manila slows down; risk still ‘low’ — OCTA

Published March 21, 2022, 1:32 PM

by Ellalyn De Vera-Ruiz


The decline in Covid-19 infections in Metro Manila has slowed down in the past week but the region remained at “low risk” from the virus, the OCTA Research Group said on Monday, March 21.

In an update shared on Twitter, OCTA fellow Dr. Guido David said the “seven-day average in new cases in the NCR [National Capital Region], as well as the ADAR [average daily attack rate], had just a 4 percent decrease as of March 20, 2022, compared to 23 percent decrease in the previous week [March 7-13].”

The ADAR or incidence rate refers to the number of new daily cases per 100,000 population.

David also noted that the region’s reproduction number—the average number of secondary infections by each infected individual—has increased from 0.26 to 0.38.

However, he pointed out that Metro Manila remained under low-risk classification based on the internationally developed Covid Act Now metrics used by OCTA.

David said that Metro Manila’s positivity rate, or the number of individuals who yielded positive results from among those who were tested for Covid-19, has decreased from 2.8 percent to 2.5 percent.

“Overall, the NCR remained at low risk but is very close to very low risk,” he said.