OCTA Research sees slow rise in COVID-19 cases in Cavite, Laguna; 'sharp' increase in Rizal

Independent research group OCTA observed a surge in new coronavirus disease (COVID-19) cases in Rizal province, based on its monitoring report for Calabarzon (Cavite, Laguna, Batangas, Rizal, and Quezon) released on Friday, Aug. 20.
In its monitoring from Aug. 13 to 19, the average daily cases in Rizal has significantly increased by 74 percent, from 265 to 460 cases.
"Antipolo, Cainta, and Taytay had sharp one-week growth rates, while healthcare utilization remained above 70 percent," OCTA said.
"The positivity rate in Rizal over the past seven days was 29 percent," it added.
Meanwhile, the seven-day growth rates of COVID-19 cases in Cavite and Laguna have increased to 39 percent and 36 percent, respectively.
The average daily cases have increased from 809 to 1,127 cases in Cavite, and from 587 to 799 cases in Laguna, from Aug. 13 to 19.
"The increase in new COVID-19 cases in Cavite and Laguna have slowed down," OCTA said.
However, it noted that Cavite was still considered a critical risk area in terms of COVID-19 incidence as it recorded an average daily attack rate (ADAR) of 26.18 cases per 100,000 population.
Hospital bed occupancy in Cavite remained "high risk" at 75 percent, while intensive care unit (ICU) occupancy was critical at 93 percent.
The province's positivity rate, or the percentage of PCR tests that yielded a positive result, was 30 percent.
OCTA said that Bacoor, Imus, General Trias, and Tanza have critical ADAR.
Local government units in Cavite that have critical ICU occupancy were Imus (100 percent), Dasmariñas (100 percent), General Trias (100 percent), Tanza (100 percent), and Silang (100 percent).
"Only Baccor was not yet in critical level in terms of COVID bed occupancy," OCTA said.
The research group pointed out that the rise in new cases has slowed down in Bacoor with a seven-day growth rate of only 8 percent and a reproduction number of 1.61 from 1.92 in the previous week.
Moreover, OCTA said that Laguna was at high risk in terms of ADAR (23.52) and healthcare utilization (79 percent).
Santa Rosa, Calamba, Cabuyao, and San Pablo have registered above 70 percent healthcare utilization, while San Pedro and Biñan were still at low risk in terms of ICU occupancy.
Laguna has had a positivity rate of 37 percent in the past seven days.