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Metro Manila, Calabarzon, C. Luzon COVID-19 cases account for 63% of PH total -- OCTA Research

Published Aug 17, 2021 03:00 pm

(ALI VICOY / MANILA BULLETIN)

The number of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) cases in Metro Manila, Calabarzon (Cavite, Laguna, Batangas, Rizal, Quezon), and Central Luzon accounted for 63 percent of the total recorded cases in the Philippines on Monday, Aug. 16, said an OCTA Research expert.

Metro Manila registered 4,071 cases, the first time it exceeded 4,000 cases since April 22, 2021, said OCTA Research fellow Dr. Guido David.

He said that Calabarzon recorded 3,232 new cases while Central Luzon registered 1,903 cases.

The number of cases of the three regions combined account for 63 percent of the new COVID-19 cases in the country on Aug. 16.

David said that the decision on the next quarantine status, particularly for Metro Manila, should be carefully studied by the Interagency Task Force for the Management of Emerging Infectious Diseases.

"Sa ngayon, ang nakikita natin, tumataas na yung ICUs natin. Nasa 72 percent na yung ICU utilization sa Metro Manila at hindi ito agad bababa dahil tumataas pa yung bilang ng kaso. Ibig sabihin mananatii siyang above 70 percent at maaaring umakyat pa siya (Right now, we are seeing that ICU utilization is increasing. ICU utilization in Metro Manila is already at 72 percent and it will not decrease immediately because the number of cases is still increasing. That means it will stay above 70 percent and may further increase)," he said in a virtual public briefing on Tuesday, Aug. 17.

"Yung hospital bed occupancy natin sa Metro Manila tumataas na rin, I think nasa 64 percent. Maaari na siyang umabot sa 70 percent based on our projections by next week (Our hospital bed occupancy in Metro Manila is also increasing, I think it is already at 64 percent. It could reach 70 percent based on our projections by next week)," he added.

Ibig sabihin niyan baka magiging factor ito kung ano yung magiging desisyon ng IATF whether to extend yung quarantine or kung ibaba na to something like MECQ .

In light of this, David is expecting that the number of recorded cases in Metro Manila will slow down and eventually decrease in the coming weeks with the implementation of ECQ.

"Ine-expect natin na mapapabagal yung hawaan sa NCR . Base sa history naman natin, August last year and then nung March 2021, mga four to five weeks bago natin makita, magsimulang bumaba yung bilang ng kaso. So hindi agad-agad natin makikita yung epekto ng enhanced community quarantine (We expect that the infection in NCR will slow down. Based on our history, August last year and then in March 2021, it takes about four to five weeks before we begin to see a decreasing number of cases. So we will not immediately see the effect of enhanced community quarantine)," David explained.

He appealed to the public to adhere to the minimum public health protocols and quarantine restrictions to help reduce the number of cases in Metro Manila.

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Metro Manila covid-19 OCTA Research Dr. Guido David
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