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OCTA: PH COVID-19 reproduction number down to 0.76

Published Oct 6, 2021 08:41 pm

(DR. GUIDO DAVID / TWITTER)

The Philippines' coronavirus disease (COVID-19) reproduction number is now at 0.76, manifesting that there is a continuous downward trend of cases in the country, independent research group OCTA said on Wednesday, Oct. 6.

"New cases in the Philippines continued on a downward trend as the seven-day average dropped to 12,455, from Sept. 30 to Oct. 6," OCTA Research fellow Dr. Guido David said in a tweet.

"The reproduction number decreased to 0.76 while the one-week growth rate was at -26 percent," he added.

Moreover, David said that the COVID-19 surge has also slowed down in some key areas, including Metro Manila, Cavite, Laguna, Batangas, Rizal, and Quezon.

However, he pointed out that cases are still increasing in some parts of Northern Luzon.

The Department of Health on Wednesday reported 9,868 new COVID-19 infections in the country, pushing the nationwide case tally to 2,622,917.

"At the current pace, the seven-day average of new cases could decrease to less than 10,000 per day by next week," David said on Tuesday, Oct. 5.

A week ago, OCTA's monitoring showed that the country's reproduction number was at 0.95 with a seven-day average in new cases at 16,900.

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covid-19 OCTA Research Dr. Guido David
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