OCTA: Taguig at ‘low risk’ for COVID-19


Taguig City remains under “low-risk” classification for coronavirus disease (COVID-19) as the number new cases in the city continues to decline, the OCTA Research group said Thursday, Oct. 28.

Bonifacio Global City in Taguig (Google Maps / MANILA BULLETIN)

In its latest monitoring report, OCTA said that the COVID-19 reproduction number in the city was at a “low” 0.41, noting that the number has been decreasing since Aug. 14.

Reproduction number refers to the average number of secondary infections by each infected individual.

Experts pointed out that the seven-day average in daily cases in Taguig decreased to 58 for the week of Oct. 21 to 27 from 109 in the previous week.

The one-week growth rate of cases in the city was at -47 percent, based on the group’s special report for the city.

During the recent surge in cases due to the Delta variant, the seven-day average of cases in Taguig peaked at 536 from Sept. 6 to 12.

Before the surge, OCTA said the city’s seven-day average was at 47 new cases per day.

“It is possible that Taguig will be seeing this level of cases by early November,” OCTA said.

The current average daily attack rate in Taguig stood at 6.64 per 100,000 individuals, which is considered at “moderate” level based on the criteria of the Department of Health and covidactnow.org.

OCTA reported that the positivity rate in Taguig was at 8 percent as of Oct. 26, which is classified at moderate level.

Meanwhile, the healthcare utilization Taguig has also been decreasing, and currently at a low-risk level of 33 percent.

“Effective epidemic management has enabled Taguig City to achieve a low risk level, based on covidactnow.org metrics,” OCTA said.