Metro Manila sees lowest COVID-19 reproduction number in 5 months

Published October 19, 2021, 10:27 AM

by Ellalyn De Vera-Ruiz


The coronavirus disease (COVID-19) reproduction number in Metro Manila further slipped to 0.55–its lowest since May, independent research group OCTA said on Tuesday, Oct. 19.

OCTA Research fellow Dr. Guido David noted that the current reproduction number in Metro Manila is the lowest since May 18 when reproduction number was at 0.56.

“On May 18, the reproduction number decreased to a then-lowest value of 0.56, before increasing again a week later. At that time the seven-day average in cases was 1,367,” David said in a tweet.

The current seven-day average of new COVID-19 cases in Metro Manila is 1,411.

“Hopefully, the reproduction number stays below 0.6 until year’s end,” David said.

Reproduction number refers to the average number of secondary infections by each infected individual.

In another update, David said that Davao City’s seven-day average of new cases was down to 122–a decrease of 31 percent from the previous week’s seven-day average.

“During the peak o the surge, the seven-day average was as high as 483,” he added.

Davao City’s current reproduction number is at 0.55, while its average daily attack rate or infection rate is 6.71 per day per 100,000–which is considered “moderate.”

David noted that the city remained at “moderate” risk for COVID-19.