As the number of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) cases is still increasing, the intensive care unit utilization rate (ICUUR) in Metro Manila is now at “high risk,” based on the OCTA Research’s report on Sunday, Aug. 15.
“Hospital bed occupancy in the NCR [National Capital Region] is now at 64 percent while ICUs reached 71 percent for the first time since May 5, 2021,” OCTA Research fellow Dr. Guido David said in a Twitter post.
Metro Manila’s COVID-19 reproduction number was at 1.90 on Aug. 14 from 1.85 on Aug. 13. This means that one person with COVID-19 is infecting up to two other individuals.
Based on OCTA’s monitoring from Aug. 8 to 14, Metro Manila’s seven-day average was up by 47 percent to 3,066 cases from 2,080 cases during the previous week.
Moreover, the average daily attack rate (ADAR) or incidence rate in Metro Manila was reported to be at 21.95 cases per 100,000 population, meaning it is also under “high risk.”
“The numbers have exceeded our projections for ECQ [enhanced community quarantine]. However, the numbers are tracking below our projections if there was no ECQ,” David said.
To help slow down or stabilize the COVID-19 trend in Metro Manila, David recommended “more cooperation from the public, more aggressive contact tracing, and more testing as [positivity rate is already high].”