COVID-19 attack rate, ICU occupancy in 6 cities at 'critical' risk -- OCTA Research


(The sign says it all at the Adventist Medical Center in Pasay City in this photo taken Tuesday, August 10, 2021, as the Department of Health (DOH) also said extending the imposition of the enhanced community quarantine (ECQ) remains a possibility amid the rising number of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) cases in Metro Manila. (Ali Vicoy)

Independent research group OCTA on Saturday, Aug. 14, flagged the cities of Tuguegarao, Imus, Malolos, Cebu, Cagayan de Oro, and Meycauayan as critical risk areas in terms of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) average daily attack rate (ADAR) and intensive care utilization rate (ICUR).

From Aug. 7 to 13, OCTA reported that the ADAR in Tuguegarao City was at 47.39, followed by Imus City (29.20), Malolos City (28.52), Cebu City (28.29), Cagayan de Oro City (26.54), and Meycauayan City (25.05).

The ADAR or incidence rate refers to the number of new daily cases per 100,000 population.

ICU occupancy rates were at 100 percent in Imus City and Meycauayan City, 91 percent in Tuguegarao City, 86 percent in Malolos City, and 85 percent in Cebu City and Cagayan de Oro City.

Makati City, Santa Rosa City, and General Trias were also flagged as critical risk areas in terms of their ADAR (37.19 and 32.32, respectively), while their ICU occupancy rates remain at "high risk" (74 percent, 77 percent, and 83 percent, respectively).

Meanwhile, some areas have reached critical ICU occupancy but their ADAR is still under the high-risk category, which means the COVID incidence rate is below 25 cases per 100,000 population.

These are Bacoor (100 percent ICUR, 24.58 ADAR), Tanza (100 percent, 22.28), Malabon City (100 percent, 21.70), Cainta (100 percent, 17.0), Dasmariñas (100 percent, 16.33), San Fernando (97 percent, 19.66), Muntinlupa City (86 percent, 22.11), Iloilo City (86 percent, 16.03), and Davao City (86 percent, 10.07).

OCTA said the country's current seven-day average is 10,708--up by 30 percent from 8,217 during the previous week.

It said the country is considered as "critical" in terms of positivity rate (22 percent), or the percent of PCR tests that yielded a positive result, and reproduction number or infection rate (1.45).