Due to the continuous decline in the number of new coronavirus disease (COVID-19) cases in the past few weeks, the National Capital Region (NCR) is seen to average less than 1,900 cases per day by May 14, based on the latest monitoring report of the OCTA Research Group.
OCTA, in its report released on Sunday, May 9, showed that the reproduction number in NCR was further down to 0.67 with an average of 2,172 new COVID-19 cases per day from May 2 to 8.
"The current daily average is 61 percent lower compared to the peak of the surge on March 29 to April 4," it further noted.
With a one-week growth rate that is lower by 31 percent, OCTA said the metropolis is expected to average less than 1,900 new cases per day by May 14.
The positivity rate in the NCR over the past week was 14 percent, from an average of 23,100 tests per day.
Moreover, OCTA said hospital bed occupancy in the NCR for COVID-19 already decreased to 50 percent.
Intensive care unit (ICU) occupancy for COVID-19 cases also decreased to 822 with a utilization rate of 67 percent, which is already below the 70 percent critical level.