LPA east of PH likely to become a tropical depression — PAGASA

Published October 27, 2020, 9:54 AM

by Ellalyn De Vera-Ruiz

While the country is still recovering from the destruction left by typhoon “Quinta” (international name: “Molave”), the low pressure area (LPA) east of the Philippines has now an increasing chance of becoming a tropical depression and may affect the country in the coming days.

The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical, and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) estimated the location of the LPA at 1,855 kilometers (km) east of Southern Luzon or outside the country’s area of responsibility at around 4 a.m. Tuesday.

Weather specialist Robb Gile said the LPA, which may enter the Philippine area of responsibility (PAR) by Wednesday or Thursday, could develop into a tropical depression within 48 hours.

PAGASA will be giving it a local name “Rolly” once it becomes a tropical depression within the PAR.

Gile said the weather disturbance could affect Southern Luzon based on the initial forecast, “but it is too early to say with certainty if the initial forecast track will be followed.”

If the projections do not change, the initial effect of the weather disturbance may be felt more likely towards the end of this week, he said.

The public is advised to continue to monitor developments regarding this potential cyclone.

In the PAGASA’s 5 a.m. severe weather bulletin issued on Tuesday, typhoon “Quinta” was about to leave the Philippine area of responsibility (PAR) and was moving towards Vietnam.

The eye of the typhoon was estimated at 605 kilometers west of Calapan City, Oriental Mindoro or 305 kilometers north-northeast of Pag-asa Island, Palawan at 4 a.m.

Tropical cyclone wind signal No. 1 was still raised over Kalayaan Islands as it is still within the outer radius of typhoon “Quinta.”

It has slightly intensified with maximum sustained winds of 140 kilometers per hour (kph) and gustiness of up to 170 kph.

PAGASA said the outer rain bands of “Quinta” may still bring moderate to heavy rains over Western Visayas, Occidental Mindoro, Palawan including Calamian, Cuyo, and Kalayaan Islands, Aurora, Isabela, Cagayan and light to moderate with at times heavy rains over Zamboanga Peninsula, Bangsamoro, Northern Mindanao, Caraga, and the rest of Luzon and Visayas.

The State weather bureau warned of possible flooding or rain-induced landslides during heavy or prolonged rainfall especially in areas that are highly susceptible to these hazards.

Strong breeze to gale conditions will still be felt in Kalayaan Islands.

Likewise, strong breeze to gale conditions associated with the northeasterlies will prevail in Batanes, northern Cagayan, including Babuyan Islands, Apayao, and Ilocos Norte, while occasional gusts associated with the outer circulation of “Quinta” will still be experienced over Western Visayas, Oriental Mindoro, Occidental Mindoro, Marinduque, Romblon, Palawan, and the western section of Luzon.