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Manila Bulletin devider Philippines devider National devider AI, machine learning models aid Manila Water in supply forecasting

AI, machine learning models aid Manila Water in supply forecasting

Published Jan 7, 2021 03:54 pm

Preventing water shortages has taken a new turn with an initiative from researchers of the Asian Institute of Management (AIM) who have tapped into the power of artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning.

Led by Dr. Christopher Monterola, under the AIM-Analytics, Computing, and Complex Systems Laboratory (ACCeSs) program, the research team developed a simulation modeling software to enhance Manila Water Company's (MWC) capability in forecasting the water supply system of Angat-Ipo-La Mesa Dams and its treatment plants and storage reservoir.

“The forecast models will serve as a tool in day-to-day operations of the MWC for the enhanced distribution of water supply in the Manila East Zone to cater the needs of its consumers—household, business, and industries,” Monterola said.

The project began in February 2020 with support from the Department of Science and Technology’s Collaborative Research and Development to Leverage Philippine Economy (CRADLE) Program and monitoring efforts from DOST-Philippine Council for Industry, Energy and Emerging Technology Research and Development (PCIEERD).

“With much data that is already out there, it is high time that we maximize the power of emerging technologies like AI and machine learning to improve and affect the daily lives of Filipinos. AIM’s forecast modeling fulfills this by seamlessly providing apt agencies with helpful data as basis for decision and policy making on water supply to avoid shortages,” said DOST-PCIEERD Executive Director Dr. Enrico C. Paringit.

The team shared that they integrated different statistical, machine learning models, and input parameters in the development of reliable forecast models from the water source to the MWC treatment plants.

They have already completed the development of forecasting models for each dam. Currently, the project team is continuously retraining and redesigning the simulation model software by adding more input parameters relevant to the improvement of their methodology and model architectures.

The AIM-ACCesS team is proud to share that their modeling software can also be used to forecast the water supply of other dams in the Philippines, providing more opportunities for other agencies to get the benefit of this tool.

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