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Manila Bulletin devider Philippines devider National devider Survey shows 4Ps, Duterte Youth lead party-list preferences for May 2025 elections

Survey shows 4Ps, Duterte Youth lead party-list preferences for May 2025 elections

Published Mar 27, 2025 02:47 am
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SWS

A Social Weather Stations (SWS) survey, conducted from March 15 to 20 and commissioned by Stratbase Consultancy, revealed that 4Ps and Duterte Youth are the top party-list groups ahead of the May 2025 elections.

The survey, which focused on voter preferences for party-list candidates, was based on the revised ballot face template released by the Commission on Elections, featuring 155 party-list groups.

Among the respondents who expressed a preference for party-list groups, 4Ps garnered 10.44 percent of the intended votes, while Duterte Youth received 8.42 percent.

Both groups are poised to secure at least 6 percent of the votes cast for party-list, meeting the threshold required for three guaranteed seats in the House of Representatives.

In addition, ACT-CIS (5.29 percent) and FPJ Panday Bayanihan (4.17 percent) are set to secure two guaranteed seats each, having surpassed the 4 percent threshold necessary for this allocation.

Other party-list groups are positioned to gain one guaranteed seat, with at least 2 percent of the vote. These include Ako Bicol (2.51 percent), Asenso Pinoy (2.45 percent), Senior Citizens (2.28 percent), TGP (2.05 percent), and Agimat (2 percent).

The remaining party-list candidates received less than 2 percent of the intended votes.

SWS also found that several party-list groups showed significant gains compared to the February 2025 survey.

Agimat (up from 1.95 percent), Ako Bicol (up from 1.79 percent), and TGP (up from 0.87 percent) have all seen increases in voter preferences.

The Stratbase-SWS March 2025 National Survey was conducted through face-to-face interviews with 1,800 registered voters nationwide.

The sample was geographically distributed as follows: 300 in Metro Manila, 900 in Balance Luzon (or Luzon outside Metro Manila), 300 in the Visayas, and 300 in Mindanao.

The survey has a national sampling error margin of ±2.31 percent, with specific margins of error for various regions: ±3.27 percent for Balance Luzon and ±5.66 percent for Metro Manila, the Visayas, and Mindanao.

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SWS May 2025 elections matalinong boto 2025 party-list group
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