The daily Covid-19 cases in the Philippines may drop to 1,000 by mid-September and around 500 by month’s end, OCTA Research fellow Dr. Guido David said Sunday, Aug. 28.
In an update shared on Twitter, David said that the number of new Covid-19 cases in the country decreased to 2,959 per day as of Aug. 27—down by 15 percent from the previous week's average of 3,487 cases.
David noted that the seven-day average was at its highest at 4,071 cases two weeks ago.
The country’s current average daily attack rate is 2.69 per 100,000 population, considered by OCTA as “low.”
Likewise, the reproduction number decreased to 0.91 on Aug. 24, from 0.96 on Aug. 17, while the positivity rate dropped from 16.2 percent to 14.3 percent, as of Aug. 26.
“If current trends in the growth rate hold, this projects to less than 1000 cases per day nationwide by mid-September and less than 500 per day by end of September,” David said.