Most parts of the country may continue to experience partly cloudy mornings with afternoon or evening rain showers and thunderstorms in the coming week, the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) said in its weekly weather outlook issued on Friday, May 27.
“Throughout the outlook period, from May 27 to June 3, no tropical cyclone development is expected,” PAGASA said.
However, updates through weather advisories will be issued if there will be significant changes in the weather scenario, it added.
Based on the historical record, PAGASA said one or two tropical cyclones are likely to develop or enter the Philippine area of responsibility (PAR) in June.
Climatological tracks in June suggest four common tracks:
* Tropical cyclones that enter the PAR move towards the Philippines but they recurve to the Pacific Ocean before it could even make landfall, instead it moves towards Taiwan or Japan;
* Tropical cyclones enter the PAR but recurve then move towards Japan;
* Landfalling tropical cyclones traverse the southern part of Luzon then move towards northern Vietnam or Hong Kong; and
* Landfalling tropical cyclones traverse the eastern and northern parts of Visayas then move towards northern Vietnam or Taiwan.