ADVERTISEMENT

PH stock investors will balance tariff concerns with rate cut hopes this week

Published Apr 6, 2025 09:37 pm

As United States (US) President Donald Trump’s tariffs will continue to weigh down global equities markets this week, the Philippine Stock Exchange will not be an exception, although traders are hoping that low valuations and a possible rate cut by the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) will spur some bargain-hunting.

“With already four straight weeks of decline, the market is drawn to more attractive levels from a fundamental standpoint. Hence, we may see bargain-hunting in [this] week’s trading,” said Philstocks Financial Research Manager Japhet Tantiangco.

Philstocks Japhet Tantiangco.jpeg
Philstocks Financial Research Manager Japhet Tantiangco

He added that, “Expectations that the BSP will cut policy rates in their upcoming meeting following the further decline in inflation last March may give sentiment a boost.” The BSP’s Monetary Board will decide on key interest rates on Thursday, April 10.

However, Tantiangco warned that “global economic concerns amid the US’ tariff policies are still expected to weigh on the market, tempering the potential rise [this] week. Shocks in the form of new tariff announcements from the US pose downside risks that may pull the market lower.”

With Trump’s tariffs hitting emerging economies in Asia the hardest, 2TradeAsia.com said, “The reaction to risk assets and currencies in Asia has been felt, and more institutions are expected to downgrade growth projections for the region with trade output being heavily impaired.”

“The Philippines’ relatively low tariff rate and consumption-driven output and monetary policy will continue to insulate against the worst of the shock, but the extent to which these tariffs and restrictive trade policies become structural (‘for how long’ and ‘for how deep’) will play a crucial role in shaping foreign capital flows in the region for the rest of the year,” it added.

While March’s inflation rate of 1.8 percent was lower than expected, 2TradeAsia.com said its impact on monetary policy remains a “significant wildcard” within the context of eroding growth outlook globally.

“The BSP may be encouraged to be ahead of the rate cut curve as it has more counter space to work with versus regional peers... While a second-quarter rate cut has been alluded to earlier, markets must acknowledge the presence of external risks as significant limiting factors, at least in the short term,” the brokerage said.

For stock picks, Unicapital Securities’ Peter Louise Garnace recommends Converge ICT Solutions Inc. (CNVRG) due to its promising outlook, as it expands its market share in underserved and untapped areas.

“We see CNVRG to sustain its growth momentum on the back of strong demand for broadband… Furthermore, we believe CNVRG’s revenues will be boosted by its recent partnership with Starlink to enhance connectivity in remote areas nationwide,” he noted.

For its part, Abacus Securities Corp. rates Citicore Renewable Energy Corp. a long-term BUY due to its aggressive plans to expand capacity annually at a rate that is faster than that of its local peers.

Related Tags

Peter Louise D. Garnace Japhet Tantiangco Philippine Stock Exchange index (PSEi) Abacus Securities Corporation 2TradeAsia.com Unicapital Securities Inc. Philstocks Financial
ADVERTISEMENT
.most-popular .layout-ratio{ padding-bottom: 79.13%; } @media (min-width: 768px) and (max-width: 1024px) { .widget-title { font-size: 15px !important; } }

{{ articles_filter_1561_widget.title }}

.most-popular .layout-ratio{ padding-bottom: 79.13%; } @media (min-width: 768px) and (max-width: 1024px) { .widget-title { font-size: 15px !important; } }

{{ articles_filter_1562_widget.title }}

.most-popular .layout-ratio{ padding-bottom: 79.13%; } @media (min-width: 768px) and (max-width: 1024px) { .widget-title { font-size: 15px !important; } }

{{ articles_filter_1563_widget.title }}

{{ articles_filter_1564_widget.title }}

.mb-article-details { position: relative; } .mb-article-details .article-body-preview, .mb-article-details .article-body-summary{ font-size: 17px; line-height: 30px; font-family: "Libre Caslon Text", serif; color: #000; } .mb-article-details .article-body-preview iframe , .mb-article-details .article-body-summary iframe{ width: 100%; margin: auto; } .read-more-background { background: linear-gradient(180deg, color(display-p3 1.000 1.000 1.000 / 0) 13.75%, color(display-p3 1.000 1.000 1.000 / 0.8) 30.79%, color(display-p3 1.000 1.000 1.000) 72.5%); position: absolute; height: 200px; width: 100%; bottom: 0; display: flex; justify-content: center; align-items: center; padding: 0; } .read-more-background a{ color: #000; } .read-more-btn { padding: 17px 45px; font-family: Inter; font-weight: 700; font-size: 18px; line-height: 16px; text-align: center; vertical-align: middle; border: 1px solid black; background-color: white; } .hidden { display: none; }
function initializeAllSwipers() { // Get all hidden inputs with cms_article_id document.querySelectorAll('[id^="cms_article_id_"]').forEach(function (input) { const cmsArticleId = input.value; const articleSelector = '#article-' + cmsArticleId + ' .body_images'; const swiperElement = document.querySelector(articleSelector); if (swiperElement && !swiperElement.classList.contains('swiper-initialized')) { new Swiper(articleSelector, { loop: true, pagination: false, navigation: { nextEl: '#article-' + cmsArticleId + ' .swiper-button-next', prevEl: '#article-' + cmsArticleId + ' .swiper-button-prev', }, }); } }); } setTimeout(initializeAllSwipers, 3000); const intersectionObserver = new IntersectionObserver( (entries) => { entries.forEach((entry) => { if (entry.isIntersecting) { const newUrl = entry.target.getAttribute("data-url"); if (newUrl) { history.pushState(null, null, newUrl); let article = entry.target; // Extract metadata const author = article.querySelector('.author-section').textContent.replace('By', '').trim(); const section = article.querySelector('.section-info ').textContent.replace(' ', ' '); const title = article.querySelector('.article-title h1').textContent; // Parse URL for Chartbeat path format const parsedUrl = new URL(newUrl, window.location.origin); const cleanUrl = parsedUrl.host + parsedUrl.pathname; // Update Chartbeat configuration if (typeof window._sf_async_config !== 'undefined') { window._sf_async_config.path = cleanUrl; window._sf_async_config.sections = section; window._sf_async_config.authors = author; } // Track virtual page view with Chartbeat if (typeof pSUPERFLY !== 'undefined' && typeof pSUPERFLY.virtualPage === 'function') { try { pSUPERFLY.virtualPage({ path: cleanUrl, title: title, sections: section, authors: author }); } catch (error) { console.error('ping error', error); } } // Optional: Update document title if (title && title !== document.title) { document.title = title; } } } }); }, { threshold: 0.1 } ); function showArticleBody(button) { const article = button.closest("article"); const summary = article.querySelector(".article-body-summary"); const body = article.querySelector(".article-body-preview"); const readMoreSection = article.querySelector(".read-more-background"); // Hide summary and read-more section summary.style.display = "none"; readMoreSection.style.display = "none"; // Show the full article body body.classList.remove("hidden"); } document.addEventListener("DOMContentLoaded", () => { let loadCount = 0; // Track how many times articles are loaded const offset = [1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10]; // Offset values const currentUrl = window.location.pathname.substring(1); let isLoading = false; // Prevent multiple calls if (!currentUrl) { console.log("Current URL is invalid."); return; } const sentinel = document.getElementById("load-more-sentinel"); if (!sentinel) { console.log("Sentinel element not found."); return; } function isSentinelVisible() { const rect = sentinel.getBoundingClientRect(); return ( rect.top < window.innerHeight && rect.bottom >= 0 ); } function onScroll() { if (isLoading) return; if (isSentinelVisible()) { if (loadCount >= offset.length) { console.log("Maximum load attempts reached."); window.removeEventListener("scroll", onScroll); return; } isLoading = true; const currentOffset = offset[loadCount]; window.loadMoreItems().then(() => { let article = document.querySelector('#widget_1690 > div:nth-last-of-type(2) article'); intersectionObserver.observe(article) loadCount++; }).catch(error => { console.error("Error loading more items:", error); }).finally(() => { isLoading = false; }); } } window.addEventListener("scroll", onScroll); });

Sign up by email to receive news.