The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) is currently monitoring a low pressure area (LPA) that formed east of Surigao del Norte.
Weather specialist Ariel Rojas said the weather disturbance, which is embedded along the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ), was last spotted 825 kilometers east of Surigao City, Surigao del Norte.
“Sa kasalukuyan, mababa ang tsansa na ang LPA na ito ay magiging isang bagyo (Currently, there is a low chance that this LPA will develop into a tropical cyclone),” Rojas said.
The weather disturbance is expected to move west northwestward in the next few days, according to the weather specialist.
By Friday, Oct. 22, the LPA is estimated to be near the vicinity of Visayas. It will then cross the Visayas and Mimaropa (Mindoro, Marinduque, Romblon, Palawan) Region over the weekend, before exiting the Philippine area of responsibility via the West Philippine Sea.
Based on the latest weather bulletin, the ITCZ would continue to affect Palawan, Visayas, and Mindanao.
Cloudy skies with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms may affect Caraga due to the combined effects of the ITCZ and the LPA.
State meteorologists warned against possible flash floods or landslides during severe thunderstorms.
Meanwhile, Batanes and Babuyan Islands may experience partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated light rains due to the prevailing northeasterly surface windflow.
As for Metro Manila and the rest of the country, partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rain showers or thunderstorms may be felt due to the ITCZ and localized thunderstorms.