Daily COVID-19 cases may dip to 83 by mid-March, DOH says

Published February 15, 2022, 4:52 PM

by Dhel Nazario

Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) cases per day may drop to as low as 83 per day in the middle of March this year, the Department of Health said on Tuesday, Feb. 15.

A police officer checks the vaccination cards of passengers at a jeepney stop in Divisoria, Manila on Jan. 14, 2022 in line with the implementation of the Department of Transportation’s “No Vaccination, No Ride” policy in the capital region while under the more stringent Alert Level 3. (Ali Vicoy / MANILA BULLETIN)

In a Palace press briefing, Health Undersecretary Maria Rosario Vergeire mentioned that this was according to the latest projection of Feasibility Analysis of Syndromic Surveillance using Spatio-Temporal Epidemiological Modeler (FASSSTER).

“Kung mapapanatili po natin ang current minimum public health standards natin, ang bilang po ng mga kaso sa bansa ay maaaring bumaba to as low as 83 cases lamang pagsapit ng March 15 (If we can maintain our current minimum public health standards, the number of cases in the country can go drop to as low as 83 cases by March 15),” she said.

“Subalit kung ang pagsunod natin sa minimum public health standards ay mapapabayaan, ang projected cases ay maaaring manatiling mataas (But if our adherence to minimum public health standards would decrease, our projected cases may become higher),” she added.

Vergeire mentioned that 2,077 are expected in the country if there will be a growth percent decrease in the compliance to minimum public health standards.

This number can go up to 7,748 COVID-19 cases per day according to Vergeire if the compliance to minimum public health standards would decrease by 19 percent.

“Kung ninanais po nating mapanatiling mababa ang ating mga kaso dito sa ating bansa, inaanyayahan po natin ang bawat Pilipino na mag-mask, hugas, iwas air flow, bakuna upang makita po natin hanggang sa dulo ang pagbaba ng kaso ng COVID-19 (If we want to keep our COVID-19 cases low in the country, we urge the public to wear masks, wash their hands, observe social distancing, and get vaccinated),” she reminded.

Vergeire explained that the projections are based on the characteristics of the more transmissible COVID-19 variant Omicron, and other factors such as population mobility, vaccination coverage and the adherence to minimum public health standards.

The country as well as the National Capital Region (NCR) and the majority of all the other regions has returned to low-risk case classification.

Health Secretary Francisco Duque III country registered a low-risk two-week growth rate of negative 74 percent and an average daily attack rate of 5.26 per 100,000 population.