Dev’t of tropical cyclone until weekend less likely – PAGASA

Published November 25, 2021, 9:27 AM

by Manila Bulletin

The formation of tropical cyclones in the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) until the weekend is less likely. However, the possible development of low pressure area (LPA) remains due to the currently-prevailing Inter-tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ), said PAGASA on Thursday, Nov. 25.

(Screengrab from PAGASA Facebook Page)

“Base sa ating satellite animation at [sa] mga pinapakita ng ating mga models, mababa ang chance na may mabuong bagyo sa loob or paligid ng ating Philippine Area of Responsibility hanggang sa matapos ang weekend (Based on our satellite animation and the data showed by our models, there is a low chance of tropical cyclone formation within the Philippine Area of Responsibility until the weekend) ,” said PAGASA Weather Specialist Benison Estareja in the state weather bureau’s latest public weather forecast.

He then added that the development of LPA remains possible due to the Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ), an imaginary line where the winds from northeast and southeast meet.

“Patuloy ang epekto ng northeast monsoon o amihan sa malaking bahagi ng Northern and even Central Luzon, habang may mga light to moderate rains tayo sa silangang parte ng northern and Central Luzon dahil sa shear line, o ‘yung tagpuan ng northeast monsoon at hangin galing sa silangan (The northeast monsoon or “amihan” will continuously affect a huge part of Northern and Central Luzon, while light to moderate rains are expected in the eastern section of Northern and Central Luzon due to the shear line, or the area where the northeast monsoon and winds from the east converge) ,” PAGASA added.

Cloudy skies and light to moderate rains are expected in the eastern part of Luzon, including Batanes, Cagayan, Isabela, Aurora, and Quezon Province due to the shear line or tail-end of a frontal system.

Meanwhile, a rainy weather condition is expected to prevail in Bicol Region and Palawan due to the ITCZ.

Moreover, the rest of the country, as well as Cordillera Administrative Region (CAR), Ilocos Region, and the rest of Central Luzon will experience mild to moderate rains while Metro Manila, the rest of Calabarzon (Cavite, Laguna, Batangas, Rizal, Quezon), and the rest of Mimaropa (Mindoro, Marinduque, Romblon, Palawan) will experience cloudy skies and possible light rains.

The state weather bureau reminded the public to monitor the weather situation in their areas for possible flooding and landslides.

PAGASA also reiterated that gale warning is raised over Batanes, Cagayan, Isabela, Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, La Union, and Pangasinan. Fishing boats and other small seacrafts were alerted and advised not to venture out due to rough seas. (Charie Mae F. Abarca)