OCTA observes 'slight uptick' in Metro Manila's average daily COVID-19 cases

Published November 12, 2021, 1:07 PM

by Ellalyn De Vera-Ruiz


Independent research group OCTA on Friday, Nov. 12, said it has observed a slight uptick in the average number of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) cases in Metro Manila in the past few days.

“The seven-day average in the NCR [National Capital Region] increased slightly over the past two days to 423 cases [during the Nov. 5-11 monitoring period] compared to 364 cases [over the Nov. 3-9 period],” OCTA research fellow Dr. Guido David said in a tweet.

David, however, pointed out that “there is no clear indication yet that the downward trend has plateaued or reversed.”

“We think the uptick may be attributed to the lower mobility during ‘Undas’ [All Saints’ Day and All Souls’ Day] and some backlog in the data,” he said.

Moreover, the weekly growth rate in Metro Manila has decreased to – [minus] 14 percent while the reproduction number increased slightly to 0.44.

“At this time, we expect new cases in the NCR to continue decreasing,” David said.

The Department of Health (DOH) on Thursday reported 1,974 additional COVID-19 cases, pushing the country’s case tally to 2,811,248.

David said that Metro Manila had 445 new COVID-19 cases, based on the data that was automatically extracted from DOH’s DataDrop on Thursday.

“Numbers may be going down but the virus is still here. Let us protect the unvaccinated and the children. We may need to live with the virus as we open the economy, but please continue to be mindful of health protocols and always be safe,” he pointed out.