If current trends continue, the number of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) cases in the Philippines will likely be less than 2,000 per day by the end of November, independent research group OCTA said on Wednesday, Oct. 27.
In his update via Twitter, OCTA Research fellow Dr. Guido David noted that the daily average of new cases in the country from Oct. 20 to 26 has decreased to 4,848.
"The last time cases were this low was on March 12 to 18," he pointed out.
David added that the country's COVID-19 reproduction number or the rate of virus transmission was at 0.52.
"Based on the current trends, daily cases could decrease to less than 2,000 by end of November," he said.
The Department of Health (DOH) on Oct. 25 said the country's risk classification has improved from "moderate" to "low" after experiencing a surge in infections driven by the highly transmissible Delta variant of COVID-19.
On Oct. 26, the DOH reported 4,393 new cases of COVID-19, bringing the country's total caseload to 2,765,672.
Despite the decline in cases, David advised the public to continue following the minimum public health protocols and avoid the 3Cs--confined spaces with poor ventilation; crowded places with no physical distancing; and close-contact settings with face-to-face interaction.