Cebu City now classified as 'very low risk' for COVID-19, says OCTA

Published October 27, 2021, 2:32 PM

by Ellalyn De Vera-Ruiz


Several months after experiencing a surge in infections driven by the highly transmissible Delta variant of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19), Cebu City’s situation has significantly improved and is now under “very low risk” classification, based on the assessment of independent research group OCTA.

“Cebu City is now classified as very low risk as of Oct. 26, 2021, using indicators based on Note that this does not reflect alert level ratings by the DOH (Department of Health) and IATF (Inter-Agency Task Force for the Management of Emerging Infectious Diseases), OCTA said in its national COVID update on Wednesday, Oct. 27.

The research group noted that Cebu City’s incidence rate or average daily attack rate (ADAR) is considered “low” at 1.72 cases per 100,000 per day, while its reproduction number is at 0.42.

Healthcare utilization (HCUR) is 19 percent while its testing positivity rate is just 2 percent, it added.

Cebu City is part of the NCR (National Capital Region) Plus 8 region. Other key areas that compose the region are Metro Manila, Davao City, Batangas, Bulacan, Cavite, Laguna, Pampanga, and Rizal.

“In the NCR Plus Eight, NCR, Rizal, Cavite, Bulacan, Batangas, and Davao City are classified as low risk,” OCTA said.

The reproduction number in Metro Manila was at 0.52, while its incidence rate was 6.73 per 100,000 per day, positivity rate at 6 percent, and healthcare utilization at 35 percent.

“Healthcare utilization in Cavite, Bulacan, Batangas, and Davao City were all healthy at less than 60 percent,” it added.

Meanwhile, healthcare utilization in Rizal was less than 60 percent but the intensive care unit or ICU occupancy remains at a critical level at 94 percent.

OCTA said that only Laguna and Pampanga are still considered moderate risk for COVID-19.

“The reason for this is the testing positivity rates in these two provinces were still greater than 10 percent. Once the positivity rate drops to 10 percent, Laguna and Pampanga will likely be classified low risk as well,” it said.