Metro Manila now at 'low' risk for COVID-19 — OCTA

Published October 26, 2021, 11:59 AM

by Ellalyn De Vera-Ruiz


Metro Manila’s coronavirus disease (COVID-19) risk classification has improved from moderate to low due to a steady decline in cases in the past few weeks, based on the latest monitoring of independent research group OCTA.

In a Twitter post on Tuesday, Oct. 26, OCTA Research fellow Dr. Guido David said the average testing positivity in Metro Manila decreased to 6 percent during the Oct. 18-24 period.

This is close to the ideal positivity rate set by the World Health Organization of 5 percent.

Meanwhile, the average daily attack rate (ADAR) or incidence rate in Metro Manila dipped to less than 7 cases per day per 100,000 from Oct. 19 to 25.

Citing these indicators, David said Metro Manila is now classified as low risk using OCTA’s metrics based on

He also noted that the seven-day average decreased to 901 cases from 1,405 cases a week ago.

Moreover, the health care utilization rate in Metro Manila decreased to 35 percent, while the intensive care unit utilization rate was at 46 percent.

David pointed out that 14 local government units (LGUs) are now classified as low risk for COVID-19.

These are Navotas City, Malabon City, Caloocan City, Pateros, Muntinlupa City, Las Piñas City, Manila City, Quezon City, Taguig City, Marikina City, Makati City, Pasay City, Parañaque City, and Pasig City.

Meanwhile, Mandaluyong (10.50), San Juan (10.57), and Valenzuela (11.15) were classified as moderate risk due to ADAR above 10 per 100,000.