OCTA: COVID-19 downward trend in PH 'more defined now'

Published September 29, 2021, 10:18 AM

by Ellalyn De Vera-Ruiz


The downward trend of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) cases in the country is getting more defined, with the reproduction number dipping further to 0.96 on Tuesday, Sept. 28, OCTA Research fellow Dr. Guido David said on Wednesday, Sept. 29.

“New cases in the Philippines averaged 17,293 over the past seven days (Sept. 22 to 28), with a growth rate of negative 11 percent (compared to the period Sept. 15 to 21),” David said in a tweet.

The Department of Health on Tuesday reported 13,846 more COVID-19 cases, bringing the country’s total case tally to 2,522,965.

With this, David said that the country’s reproduction number, or the average number of secondary infections by each infected individual, has decreased to 0.96.

“The downward trend is more defined now,” he pointed out.

Although the country’s average daily COVID-19 cases and reproduction number have been consistently decreasing, David noted that “hospitals remain at high capacity in many of the affected areas.”

“While NCR (National Capital Region) Plus is on a downward trend, the surge is still happening in many other provinces,” he added.

The NCR Plus is composed of Metro Manila, Laguna, Rizal, Bulacan, and Cavite.

In OCTA’s report released on Sunday, Sept. 26, the group said that Metro Manila remains at “high risk” for COVID-19 due to the region’s high positivity rate, which refers to the number of people who test positive given the testing.