After 'artificial' spike, Metro Manila's COVID-19 reproduction number back to 0.94 — OCTA

Published September 28, 2021, 7:15 PM

by Ellalyn De Vera-Ruiz

(DR. GUIDO DAVID / TWITTER)

The coronavirus disease (COVID-19) reproduction number in Metro Manila is back to 0.94 after the region saw an “artificial spike” in cases on Sunday, Sept. 26, independent research group OCTA said on Tuesday, Sept. 28.

The reproduction number refers to the average number of secondary infections by each infected individual.

In its update on Tuesday, Sept. 28, OCTA Research fellow Dr. Guido David said that based on the data on Sept. 27, Metro Manila averaged 4,083 cases daily in the past week.

This translates to a one-week growth rate of -19 percent.

Based on the data on Sunday, David said that Metro Manila had a daily average of 5,653 cases with a one-week growth rate of -15 percent.

Its reproduction number was also slightly up to 0.98.

Although Metro Manila’s average daily COVID-19 cases and reproduction number have been consistently decreasing in the past few weeks, David pointed out that the region remains at “high risk” for COVID-19.

“The goal is less than 3k [3,000] new cases per day in the NCR (National Capital Region) by the second week of October. However, including antigen tested cases will change this,” David said in a tweet.

 
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