DOH says projected 40K daily COVID-19 cases in Metro Manila may still change

Published September 3, 2021, 3:13 PM

by Analou de Vera


The Department of Health (DOH) said that its projection of 40,000 coronavirus disease (COVID-19) cases daily in Metro Manila by the end of September can still change.

DOH Undersecretary Maria Rosario Vergeire said that their projection is based on the characteristics of the Delta coronavirus variant.

“Pag nagbigay tayo ng projections—it does not mean na mangyayari talaga iyang mga numero na iyan. Kaya tinawag na projections. So, kailangan maintindihan ng ating mga kababayan—even though we have these projections—ginagamit po iyan for planning purposes (When we give projections — it does not mean that those numbers will actually happen. That is why it is called projections. Our citizens need to understand that even though we have these projections — they are used for planning purposes),” said Vergeire during the DOH media forum on Friday, Sept. 3.

On Thursday, Sept. 2, the DOH said that “daily cases” in Metro Manila “for September 30 may range from 16,000 to 43,000.” Meanwhile, DOH Epidemiology Bureau Director Dr. Alethea De Guzman said that cases in the metropolis are starting to slow down at present.

Vergeire explained that De Guzman’s statement may be attributed to the improved COVID-19 response in the National Capital Region (NCR).

“Base sa pag analyze namin—na shorten na ng National Capital Region ang detection to isolation. Dati po nag average sila ng siyam na araw. Ngayon (Based on our analysis — that the National Capital Region has shortened the conduct of case detection to isolation. They used to average nine days. Now), NCR was able to do it and shortened it to six days,” said the DOH Spokesperson.

“Ang vaccine coverage natin—nakita natin kung paano napataas ng National Capital Region ang vaccination (In terms of vaccine coverage — we have seen how the National Capital Region has increased their vaccination coverage),” she added.

“Nakita natin, there is more visibility of enforcers here in the National Capital Region—kaya sa tingin natin yung mobility or pattern ng minimum public health standards ay nag improved din (We also observed that there is more visibility of enforcers here in the National Capital Region — so we think the mobility or pattern of minimum public health standards has also improved). Plus the (fact) that a lot of local governments have done granular lockdowns,” she furthered.

Vergeire said that the projected number of daily cases is not absolute.

“Yung projection na ito, hindi mo iyan pwede ipeg na projection na natin iyan hanggang sa huli….binabago namin iyan (You cannot peg that projection until the end…. it is subject to change),” she said.