NCR’s COVID trend ‘still improving’ – OCTA

Published May 4, 2021, 10:44 AM

by Noreen Jazul

The COVID-19 trend in the National Capital Region (NCR) continues to improve, the OCTA Research Group said on Tuesday.

Residents queue up to enter a market in Manila on March 28, 2021 (Photo by Jam STA ROSA / AFP / MANILA BULLETIN)

OCTA Research fellow Dr. David Guido said the reproduction rate in Metro Manila is at 0.82.

As for the daily cases, David said NCR records 3,000 cases per day which is a 46 percent decrease from its peak of 5,500.

“Definitely, yung trend natin sa (the trend in) NCR is still improving,” Guido told DZMM Teleradyo.

The average daily cases in the entire Philippines has also gone down to 8,000 from its peak of 10,000, Guido said.

Asked if the NCR can already ease restrictions after May 14, David said: “Too early to say.”

He added that Metro Manila’s downward trend is still “unstable.”

David said there are local government units (LGUs) that are showing a slow decrease in cases compared to previous weeks such as Muntinlupa, Las Pinas, Valenzuela, Paranaque, and Mandaluyong.

The cities of Manila, Navotas, and Pasay have shown a significant decrease in cases, according to the expert.

David said they have to re-assess next week to see if there will be a spike during the two-week period of the Modified Enhanced Community Quarantine (MECQ) flex.

If there will be no increase or spike in cases, Guido said Metro Manila can “gradually” ease restrictions.

“Gradual easing of economic restrictions and calibrated, “ he said.