TS ‘Surigae’ to enter PAR by Friday, may intensify into typhoon – PAGASA

Published April 15, 2021, 8:19 AM

by Jhon Aldrin Casinas

A tropical storm with international name “Surigae” may intensify into a typhoon level category upon entry into the Philippine area of responsibility (PAR) by Friday, April 16.


In its 4 a.m. weather bulletin, the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) said the tropical storm was estimated at 1,140 kilometers east of Mindanao at around 3 a.m.

It has slightly intensified packing a maximum sustained winds of 85 kilometers per hour (kph) near the center and gustiness of up to 105 kph while moving westward slowly.

“Inaasahan po natin na ito ay papasok ng Philippine area of responsibility by tomorrow (We expect that it will enter the Philippine area of responsibility by Friday),” PAGASA weather specialist Shelly Ignacio said.

Once it enters the PAR, the weather disturbance will be given a local name “Bising”, the second tropical cyclone to enter the country this year.

What to expect

PAGASA said the tropical cyclone is forecast to move generally north-northwestward or northward while slightly slowing down. It will then turn west-northwestward and gradually accelerate.

“May posibilidad po ‘yang maging typhoon category ‘yung intensity niya by Friday (There is a possibility that its intensity will be in the typhoon category by Friday),” Ignacio said.

She pointed out that the weather disturbance has a low chance of making landfall and is less likely to directly affect the country over the next three days.

But the public, as well as the concerned disaster risk reduction and management offices situated in the eastern portions of Southern Luzon and Visayas, were advised to continuously monitor developments.

“Considering the uncertainty in the track forecast of this storm, a westward shift in the current forecast track may result in potentially significant impacts over the aforementioned areas over the weekend onto Monday, April 19,” PAGASA said.

Storm’s trough affects Mindanao

In its 24-hour weather forecast, PAGASA said the trough of the tropical storm would affect Mindanao.

Metro Manila and the rest of the country may also experience partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rain showers due to localized thunderstorms or the trough of the storm.