‘Auring’ slows down; may weaken before landfall

Published February 21, 2021, 10:24 AM

by Jhon Aldrin Casinas

Tropical storm “Auring” has slightly decelerated on Sunday morning, Feb. 21, while moving towards the west-northwest direction, the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) said.

In its 8 a.m. severe weather bulletin, PAGASA said Auring had maximum sustained winds of 65 kilometer per hour (kph) near the center and gustiness of up to 80 kph.

At 7 a.m. Sunday, the center of Auring was estimated at 370 km East of Hinatuan, Surigao del Sur, and moving in a West-Northwest direction at 10 kph.

Signal no. 2 has been raised in the following areas:

Visayas

The central and southern portions of Eastern Samar (Sulat, Taft, San Julian, Borongan City, Maydolong, Balangkayan, Balangiga, Lawaan, Llorente, Hernani, General Macarthur, Quinapondan, Giporlos, Salcedo, Mercedes, Guiuan)

Mindanao

Dinagat Islands and Surigao del Norte including Siargao and Bucas Grande Islands 

Areas under Signal no. 1

Luzon

Sorsogon, Masbate including Ticao and Burias Islands, Albay, Catanduanes, and the eastern portion of Camarines Sur (Caramoan, Presentacion, Sagnay, Buhi, Iriga City, Nabua, Bato, Balatan)

Visayas

Northern Samar, the rest of Eastern Samar, Samar, Biliran, Leyte, Southern Leyte, Cebu, Bohol, Siquijor, Negros Oriental, the northern and central portions of Negros Occidental (Kabankalan City, Himamaylan City, Binalbagan, Isabela, Moises Padilla, Hinigaran, La Castellana, Pontevedra, San Enrique, La Carlota City, Pulupandan, Valladolid, Bago City, Murcia, Bacolod City, Talisay City, Silay City, Enrique B. Magalona, Victorias City, Manapla, Cadiz City, Sagay City, Escalante City, Toboso, Calatrava, San Carlos City, Salvador Benedicto), the eastern portion of Iloilo (San Rafael, Barotac Viejo, Lemery, Ajuy, Sara, Concepcion, San Dionisio, Batad, Estancia, Balasan, Carles), and the eastern portion of Capiz (Roxas City, Panitan, Ma- Ayon, Cuartero, Dumarao, Panay, Pontevedra, President Roxas, Pilar)

Mindanao

Surigao del Sur, Agusan del Norte, Agusan del Sur, Davao Oriental, Davao de Oro, Davao del Norte, Davao City, Camiguin, Misamis Oriental, and Bukidnon

The storm is forecast to continue moving generally west-northwestward to northwestward in the next 48 hours, but short-term erratic movement may still occur before its landfall over the Dinagat Islands-Eastern Samar (southern portion including Homonhon Island)-Leyte area between Sunday night or Monday early morning.

“There is an increasing likelihood that Auring will weaken into a tropical depression before it makes landfall due to persistent high vertical wind shear associated with the surge of the Northeast Monsoon,” PAGASA said.

“However, the possibility that the storm will maintain its strength until landfall is not yet ruled out,” it added.

After landfall, the storm may “weaken considerably due to significant terrain interaction and the increasing wind shear, leading to deterioration into a remnant low within 48 hours, possibly sooner.”

PAGASA said the combined effects of the surge of the Northeast Monsoon and the tropical storm will bring gale-force winds in areas under signal number 2 in the next 24 hours.

Strong breeze to near-gale conditions with occasionally higher gusts may affect areas where signal number 1 is in effect, as well as over Cavite, Laguna, Batangas, Rizal, Quezon, Mindoro, Marinduque, Romblon, Palawan, Aurora, and the rest of Visayas and Bicol Region.

Rough to very rough seas will be experienced over the seaboards of areas under storm warning signal, as well as the eastern seaboard of Luzon not under any cyclone warning.

Rough seas will also prevail over the southern seaboard of Luzon, including the eastern seaboard of Palawan, the remaining seaboards of Visayas, and the northern, eastern, and western seaboards of Mindanao that are not under any cyclone warning.

Moderate to heavy rains with at times intense rains may occur in Dinagat Islands, Surigao del Norte, and Surigao del Sur on Sunday; while Moderate to heavy rains would be felt in Eastern Visayas, Misamis Oriental, Bukidnon, Camiguin, and the rest of Caraga

Light to moderate with at times heavy rains may be also experienced in Bicol Region, Mindoro, Marinduque, Romblon, Palawan, Zamboanga Peninsula, Quezon, the northern portion of Davao Oriental, Davao de Oro, and the rest of Visayas and Northern Mindanao.

By Monday, light to moderate with at times heavy rains may happen in Bicol Region, Mindoro, Marinduque, Romblon, Palawan, Western Visayas, Northern Samar, Samar, Eastern Samar, Quezon, Aurora, Isabela, and Cagayan.

The weather disturbance will be 15 km west-northwest of Guiuan, Eastern Samar by Monday morning, and wis estimated to be 70 km North of Coron, Palawan by Tuesday. 

 
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