The low-pressure area east of Luzon has the potential to intensify into a tropical depression (TD) within 48 hours, the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical, and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) said Sunday.
Once it develops into a tropical depression, it will be given the local name “Carina.” PAGASA estimated the location of the LPA at 540 kilometers east of Tuguegarao City, Cagayan, around 3 p.m. on Sunday.
“The public and local disaster risk disaster and management offices concerned are advised to continue monitoring for updates regarding the potential development of this weather disturbance,” the state weather bureau said.
PAGASA added that tropical cyclone wind signals may be hoisted in the initial severe weather bulletin as soon as the LPA develops into a tropical cyclone and moves closer to the country.
Cloudy skies with scattered light to moderate rain showers that may become heavy during thunderstorms are expected in Aurora, Quezon, Batanes, Cagayan, Isabela, Nueva Vizcaya, Quirino, Albay, Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur, Catanduanes, Masbate, Sorsogon, Northern Samar, and Eastern Samar within 24 hours.
Residents in these areas, especially those in high-risk communities, were warned of possible floods and landslides that may occur during heavy or prolonged rainfall.
PAGASA weather specialist Robb Gile said that even if the weather disturbance may not actually hit land in the Philippines, the public and the local authorities concerned should still take necessary precautionary measures against possible heavy rainfall brought about by the potential tropical cyclone.
Fisherfolk and others using small sea craft should also take necessary precautions when venturing over the eastern seaboards of Luzon and Visayas as the LPA may trigger rough to very rough sea conditions.
“Carina” will be the first tropical cyclone to form inside the Philippine Area of Responsibility this month and third in 2020.
Based on PAGASA’s historical data from 1948 to 2016, an average of two to four tropical cyclones enter or form in the PAR in July.
Partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rain showers mostly in the afternoon or evening may prevail over Metro Manila and the rest of the country.
PAGASA warned the public that the occurrence of severe or intense thunderstorms may trigger flash floods or landslides in high-risk areas.
The weather bureau on Sunday has not issued a gale warning across the country’s coasts thus fisherfolk and seafarers are safe to sail, except in the eastern seaboards of Luzon and Visayas due to the approaching potential cyclone.
Slight to moderate seas, except during thunderstorms, are expected over most of the archipelago.