We have to reopen the economy


The coronavirus  continues  in the country  but  the government  has to relax quarantine  measures, presidential  spokesman  Harry Roque said  early  this week. “I  don’t  think we have other alternatives  but to open the economy,” he said.  “If we don’t  open the economy, we might die not because of the virus  but because we have no livelihood.”

It  is  now  almost four months since  a lockdown on Metro  Manila and the   rest  of Luzon was ordered by President  Duterte, along with a state of calamity in the rest of the country,  in an effort to stop the fast-spreading  COVID-19.  People  were  told  to  stay  at  home  to  protect  themselves from the virus.  

The lockdown –an Enhanced Community Quarantine (ECQ),  later  eased  into  a  General Community Quarantine (GCQ), then further eased into a Modified  GCQ  (MGCQ) --   closed down most businesses and offices. These  are  now  gradually  reopening  and  public transportation  has  also  been  gradually  returning  so  the people can go back to work.

The World Health Organization (WHO)  itself  has  acknowledged   the  economic problem resulting from the virus lockdowns.   Last week,  WHO  Emergencies  Director  Michael Ryan said that while  “too many countries are ignoring the ballooning cases of deaths and infections,”  notably the United States and in South America,   “there are good economic  reasons  that the countries need  to bring   their economies back on line.”

But,  instead of placing an entire nation under lockdown, he suggested that  strict measures  be maintained in local areas  where the virus is spreading uncontrollably, but  that they be loosened where the transmission rates  are down.   In all cases,  he said,  physical distancing, hand-washing, testing, isolating cases, and contact tracing should be maintained.

We  could apply this suggestion  of breaking down the problem here in Metro Manila. In this  region of 16 local cities and one town,  some local governments  have been more successful  than  others  in keeping  coronavirus  cases down.  They  need not  be  lumped  with those with  high infection rates.

New  findings  about the way  COVID-19  spreads should also be taken  into consideration.  Physical distancing  may be effective in  open-air crowds,  in gyms,   and  in  bars, but it was found in one study that  the  air blowing  strongly from an air-conditioning unit in a small restaurant  could  also carry the virus.

Last Tuesday,  the  Department  of Health  disclosed  that  coronavirus  cases are still rising in the country,  but  there are now  fewer   deaths.  The  fatalities  are  now down to 2.9 percent,  from  the previous 10 percent,  Undersecretary  Maria   Rosario  Vergeire  said.

She  also  reported  the clustering of cases in  314 barangays  in Metro Manila and  in 54 barangays in Cebu City.  We  might  now take heed  of  the WHO suggestion  about  breaking down  the problem  and  maintain  the restrictions  in these  barangays  and allow the other areas to return to normal more rapidly.

All  these findings, she said,  should  make  people more cautious.  For  it is indeed  the  people themselves who are ultimately the most  responsible for their  own safety.